{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b8688fa6-6072-4c95-b4f7-a493869a5f84", "symbol": "CRW", "name": "Craneware plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.198, "architecture_energy": 41.866, "architecture_maturity": 93.994, "architecture_confidence": 79.877, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.15, "rotation_up": 21.73, "upward_expansion": 5.54, "deceleration": 60.03, "rotation_down": 50.09, "downward_expansion": 76.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 1217.066667, 1232.581818, 1321.171429, 1363.169332 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1318.0, "trend_reference": 1448.015194, "distance_from_trend": -0.089789, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1915.373495, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.311884, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.875758, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.215394, "excess_performance": -0.281673, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.089789, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.150866, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.311884, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.114773, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.318758, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050228, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.215394, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.519955, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1045769, "relative_activity": 0.90885, "balance": 1.519955, "dry_up": 1.211642, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.109171, "annualized_volatility": 0.514181, "from_high_reference": -0.501417, "from_low_reference": 0.334008 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1448.015194, "fair_value_reference": 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1417.986883 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1148.0, "volume": 1608701, "typical_volume": 1116135.8, "trend": 1493.101786, "fair_value": 1917.979846, "relative_strength": -41.517836, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.87782, "energy": 82.851532, "activity_lines": [ 1171.066667, 1259.709091, 1346.808834, 1394.06247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1164.0, "volume": 1675279, "typical_volume": 1144853.7, "trend": 1467.74185, "fair_value": 1915.702546, "relative_strength": -40.480147, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.709687, "energy": 70.43298, "activity_lines": [ 1160.8, 1229.490909, 1326.142857, 1372.830096 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1318.0, "volume": 1045769, "typical_volume": 1150650.75, "trend": 1448.015194, "fair_value": 1915.373495, "relative_strength": -31.875758, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.198321, "energy": 41.865691, "activity_lines": [ 1217.066667, 1232.581818, 1321.171429, 1363.169332 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }