{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b869c2ea-cd75-43c2-af9c-2b492d1b7e50", "symbol": "HECPROJECT", "name": "HEC Infra Projects Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 76.583, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 49.109, "architecture_energy": 26.952, "architecture_maturity": 13.123, "architecture_confidence": 80.987, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.77, "rotation_up": 47.47, "upward_expansion": 75.82, "deceleration": 58.46, "rotation_down": 22.14, "downward_expansion": 4.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 132.213332, 130.846182, 128.501143, 125.66286 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 132.75, "trend_reference": 122.494667, "distance_from_trend": 0.083721, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 109.624487, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.210952, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.521419, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.069702, "excess_performance": 0.113411, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.083721, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001903, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.210952, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008564, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.035214, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084431, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.069702, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.164405, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 35722, "relative_activity": 0.358056, "balance": 2.164405, "dry_up": 2.240552, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108023, "annualized_volatility": 0.575281, "from_high_reference": -0.234738, "from_low_reference": 0.441368 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 122.494667, "fair_value_reference": 109.624487, "structural_low": 92.099998, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.011841, "positive_rate": 0.541667, "directional_follow_through": 0.541667, "median_excess_return": 0.005354, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.362773, "worst_return": -0.311044, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.042071, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.005971, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.672317, "worst_return": -0.249063, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.030829, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.022763, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.072346, "worst_return": -0.22725, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"volume": 78306, "typical_volume": 120162.05, "trend": 121.853, "fair_value": 109.018718, "relative_strength": 4.84084, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.987519, "energy": 29.471024, "activity_lines": [ 132.023999, 129.975273, 127.743096, 124.959828 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 132.75, "volume": 35722, "typical_volume": 99766.6, "trend": 122.494667, "fair_value": 109.624487, "relative_strength": 3.521419, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.109434, "energy": 26.952124, "activity_lines": [ 132.213332, 130.846182, 128.501143, 125.66286 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }