{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b86a65c8-d844-4669-9fee-c2a7d3ef8634", "symbol": "8349", "name": "QST International Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 88.853, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.666, "architecture_energy": 27.913, "architecture_maturity": 26.642, "architecture_confidence": 93.524, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.41, "rotation_up": 24.1, "upward_expansion": 7.22, "deceleration": 51.61, "rotation_down": 45.68, "downward_expansion": 73.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.570001, 39.58932, 40.097628, 40.405169 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 39.200001, "trend_reference": 40.811837, "distance_from_trend": -0.039494, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 46.609537, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.15897, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.964316, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.059091, "excess_performance": -0.500463, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.039494, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023148, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.15897, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010195, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.339643, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047675, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.059091, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.517029, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 349258, "relative_activity": 0.393952, "balance": 0.517029, "dry_up": 0.421532, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042779, "annualized_volatility": 0.233374, "from_high_reference": -0.152927, "from_low_reference": 0.070732 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 40.811837, "fair_value_reference": 46.609537, "structural_low": 36.610477, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.01347, "positive_rate": 0.541667, "directional_follow_through": 0.458333, "median_excess_return": -0.010332, "regime_survival": 0.791667, "best_return": 0.16791, "worst_return": -0.101754, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.012884, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.115908, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.294814, "worst_return": -0.127083, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.02167, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.076564, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.198994, "worst_return": -0.05345, "sufficient": false }, { 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.00812, "energy": 25.682172, "activity_lines": [ 39.73, 39.731481, 40.344139, 40.597559 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.700001, "volume": 253298, "typical_volume": 909456.6, "trend": 40.892295, "fair_value": 46.621739, "relative_strength": -31.812357, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.933797, "energy": 20.964731, "activity_lines": [ 39.730001, 39.703764, 40.241167, 40.514349 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 39.200001, "volume": 349258, "typical_volume": 886550.75, "trend": 40.811837, "fair_value": 46.609537, "relative_strength": -33.964316, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.665756, "energy": 27.913227, "activity_lines": [ 39.570001, 39.58932, 40.097628, 40.405169 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }