{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b88f9968-c84b-426a-bda5-7a97e4b3868b", "symbol": "301529", "name": "WuHu Foresight Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 50.476, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -22.192, "architecture_energy": 45.726, "architecture_maturity": 14.803, "architecture_confidence": 70.962, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.54, "rotation_up": 19.61, "upward_expansion": 27.19, "deceleration": 47.01, "rotation_down": 66.5, "downward_expansion": 49.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 81.38, 90.767455, 97.540561, 96.032621 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 80.139999, "trend_reference": 95.409078, "distance_from_trend": -0.160038, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 43.190909, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.855483, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.480713, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.158252, "excess_performance": -0.165651, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.160038, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.169245, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.855483, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.076354, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.004807, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.562888, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.158252, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.180559, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13439158, "relative_activity": 0.781314, "balance": 1.180559, "dry_up": 0.888971, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.23359, "annualized_volatility": 0.811729, "from_high_reference": -0.40637, "from_low_reference": 1.025054 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 95.409078, "fair_value_reference": 43.190909, "structural_low": 66.010002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.134328, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.176425, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.044487, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.106482, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.17051, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.58663, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.315387, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.456066, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.178413, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.062592, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", 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93.844666, 99.840527, 101.060126, 98.251387 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 75.860001, "volume": 16076267, "typical_volume": 17259669.75, "trend": 95.428366, "fair_value": 42.941253, "relative_strength": 0.803018, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.83588, "energy": 30.27817, "activity_lines": [ 86.441334, 94.452182, 99.095926, 97.018967 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 80.139999, "volume": 13439158, "typical_volume": 17200716.8, "trend": 95.409078, "fair_value": 43.190909, "relative_strength": 0.480713, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.19152, "energy": 45.725889, "activity_lines": [ 81.38, 90.767455, 97.540561, 96.032621 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }