{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b88ffe1d-2f75-4289-9122-3467b9ba9c22", "symbol": "FPAR-A", "name": "FastPartner AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 54.766, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 27.12, "architecture_energy": 28.045, "architecture_maturity": 6.107, "architecture_confidence": 70.307, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.79, "rotation_up": 61.71, "upward_expansion": 38.86, "deceleration": 28.76, "rotation_down": 14.79, "downward_expansion": 20.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.933333, 40.837272, 40.458591, 40.910946 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 43.0, "trend_reference": 41.896649, "distance_from_trend": 0.026335, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 54.555925, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.211818, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.910149, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.065131, "excess_performance": -0.126626, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.026335, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051429, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.211818, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058001, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.149101, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097135, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.065131, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.006906, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 482754, "relative_activity": 0.58941, "balance": 3.006906, "dry_up": 0.534961, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.054383, "annualized_volatility": 0.344472, "from_high_reference": -0.219893, "from_low_reference": 0.170068 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.896649, "fair_value_reference": 54.555925, "structural_low": 36.75, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.046451, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": -0.066327, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.020943, "worst_return": -0.134254, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.127367, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.14923, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.037958, "worst_return": -0.152596, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.268189, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.285715, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.185915, "worst_return": -0.473416, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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39.803332, 39.500908, 39.982521, 40.910316 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 41.0, "volume": 557643, "typical_volume": 853249.65, "trend": 42.159023, "fair_value": 54.594651, "relative_strength": -17.328544, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.524322, "energy": 19.716014, "activity_lines": [ 40.393332, 39.743635, 40.013679, 40.824479 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 42.549999, "volume": 409672, "typical_volume": 832596.95, "trend": 42.050737, "fair_value": 54.574298, "relative_strength": -14.799012, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 4.335035, "energy": 16.351757, "activity_lines": [ 41.239999, 40.255453, 40.213662, 40.849703 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 43.0, "volume": 482754, "typical_volume": 819045.9, "trend": 41.896649, "fair_value": 54.555925, "relative_strength": -14.910149, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.120109, "energy": 28.04527, "activity_lines": [ 41.933333, 40.837272, 40.458591, 40.910946 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }