{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b89143bb-c98a-449b-b35d-dcb8a9b0b9ff", "symbol": "003038", "name": "Anhui Xinbo Aluminum Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.149, "architecture_energy": 75.611, "architecture_maturity": 59.01, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.88, "rotation_up": 20.58, "upward_expansion": 16.78, "deceleration": 41.99, "rotation_down": 64.28, "downward_expansion": 90.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.324, 10.691273, 11.744429, 12.743269 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.75, "trend_reference": 14.111, "distance_from_trend": -0.238183, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.957164, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.401353, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.634226, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.344512, "excess_performance": -0.351912, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.238183, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104139, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.401353, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.169303, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.326342, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00802, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.344512, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.326527, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20140761, "relative_activity": 0.899604, "balance": 0.326527, "dry_up": 0.942988, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085224, "annualized_volatility": 0.407629, "from_high_reference": -0.502084, "from_low_reference": 0.141189 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.111, "fair_value_reference": 17.957164, "structural_low": 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"down", "direction": -82.018527, "energy": 87.4319, "activity_lines": [ 11.917333, 12.573455, 13.594905, 14.378667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 11.38, "volume": 4515532, "typical_volume": 28604710.25, "trend": 14.989, "fair_value": 18.502235, "relative_strength": -39.355463, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.53369, "energy": 84.688258, "activity_lines": [ 11.674, 12.251455, 13.285905, 14.136022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 10.93, "volume": 15593638, "typical_volume": 25555470.7, "trend": 14.822333, "fair_value": 18.401266, "relative_strength": -38.653898, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.137271, "energy": 88.200619, "activity_lines": [ 11.345333, 11.903455, 12.966476, 13.874151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.98, "volume": 22993980, "typical_volume": 24806143.8, "trend": 14.648, "fair_value": 18.280723, "relative_strength": -37.530736, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.103079, "energy": 94.299295, "activity_lines": [ 10.806667, 11.449455, 12.588095, 13.561742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.58, "volume": 21423989, "typical_volume": 23898203.55, "trend": 14.459, "fair_value": 18.165225, "relative_strength": -39.373742, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.152977, "energy": 94.398103, "activity_lines": [ 10.304, 11.007455, 12.212095, 13.234774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.37, "volume": 19889536, "typical_volume": 22817406.5, "trend": 14.279333, "fair_value": 18.058174, "relative_strength": -32.467156, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.064286, "energy": 86.979887, "activity_lines": [ 10.223333, 10.787455, 11.946048, 12.970968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.75, "volume": 20140761, "typical_volume": 22388478.35, "trend": 14.111, "fair_value": 17.957164, "relative_strength": -32.634226, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.14929, "energy": 75.611214, "activity_lines": [ 10.324, 10.691273, 11.744429, 12.743269 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }