{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b89225b9-56fb-4047-9ef1-107e92865804",
    "symbol": "ORIENTBELL",
    "name": "Orient Bell Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 22.89,
    "architecture_energy": 11.147,
    "architecture_maturity": 31.74,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.45,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 55.06,
        "rotation_up": 28.55,
        "upward_expansion": 49.45,
        "deceleration": 75.16,
        "rotation_down": 22.4,
        "downward_expansion": 22.78
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        316.281388,
        317.271601,
        317.835678,
        310.569133
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 314.0,
    "trend_reference": 300.838182,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.04375,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 331.912823,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.053968,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 6.686982,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.135419,
    "excess_performance": 0.179128,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04375,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044154,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.053968,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.051004,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06687,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.180672,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.135419,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.881124,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 35118,
      "relative_activity": 0.368577,
      "balance": 0.881124,
      "dry_up": 0.354492,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.070731,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.447367,
      "from_high_reference": -0.137363,
      "from_low_reference": 0.315183
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 300.838182,
      "fair_value_reference": 331.912823,
      "structural_low": 246.550003,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.002545,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0021,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.055972,
        "worst_return": -0.054232,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.033583,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048328,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.08741,
        "worst_return": -0.154576,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.199964,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.226612,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.573968,
        "worst_return": -0.174039,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.283279,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.223004,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.84117,
        "worst_return": -0.274611,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "start": "2024-08-02",
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        "return": -0.052888,
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.014041,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.144776,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.009835,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 336.395125,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 310.315155,
        "volume": 29491,
        "typical_volume": 105054.55,
        "trend": 297.108182,
        "fair_value": 335.058148,
        "relative_strength": 6.846192,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 32.298779,
        "energy": 15.494307,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 319.5,
        "volume": 30971,
        "typical_volume": 101960.2,
        "trend": 298.821515,
        "fair_value": 333.997383,
        "relative_strength": 12.434133,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.787285,
        "energy": 15.384917,
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          316.526788,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 319.25,
        "volume": 39524,
        "typical_volume": 95397.75,
        "trend": 299.351515,
        "fair_value": 332.945242,
        "relative_strength": 9.418585,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.948276,
        "energy": 15.757625,
        "activity_lines": [
          317.321061,
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          309.62407
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 314.0,
        "volume": 35118,
        "typical_volume": 95280.05,
        "trend": 300.838182,
        "fair_value": 331.912823,
        "relative_strength": 6.686982,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 22.890194,
        "energy": 11.146607,
        "activity_lines": [
          316.281388,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}