{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b8b08ea3-753d-4334-a9e3-0f91d707e51b", "symbol": "002044", "name": "Meinian Onehealth Healthcare Holdings Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.769, "architecture_energy": 48.622, "architecture_maturity": 29.493, "architecture_confidence": 88.048, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.33, "rotation_up": 17.56, "upward_expansion": 6.78, "deceleration": 49.4, "rotation_down": 60.52, "downward_expansion": 80.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.658067, 4.760502, 5.074525, 5.333103 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.82, "trend_reference": 5.762709, "distance_from_trend": -0.163588, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.263969, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.084341, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.332743, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.310443, "excess_performance": -0.317843, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.163588, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027172, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.084341, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.225866, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.163327, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061917, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.310443, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.726298, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 517512233, "relative_activity": 0.885073, "balance": 0.726298, "dry_up": 0.886624, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11259, "annualized_volatility": 0.42101, "from_high_reference": -0.457207, "from_low_reference": 0.134118 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.762709, "fair_value_reference": 5.263969, "structural_low": 4.25, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.039996, "positive_rate": 0.366667, "directional_follow_through": 0.633333, "median_excess_return": -0.022732, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 0.251445, "worst_return": -0.190278, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.086406, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.099439, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.267568, "worst_return": -0.309722, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.011751, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.129723, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.458244, "worst_return": -0.351389, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-17", "close": 4.53, "volume": 643172918, "typical_volume": 593182097.4, "trend": 5.853375, "fair_value": 5.309348, "relative_strength": -19.436912, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.009015, "energy": 73.303486, "activity_lines": [ 4.766338, 5.017661, 5.288543, 5.559326 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.32, "volume": 400546017, "typical_volume": 576275725.65, "trend": 5.795042, "fair_value": 5.292828, "relative_strength": -22.998353, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.489765, "energy": 76.478162, "activity_lines": [ 4.56228, 4.84382, 5.177822, 5.460398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.78, "volume": 512446476, "typical_volume": 576737987.5, "trend": 5.778042, "fair_value": 5.277475, "relative_strength": -13.126962, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.321331, "energy": 61.171646, "activity_lines": [ 4.596164, 4.788343, 5.120912, 5.394912 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.82, "volume": 517512233, "typical_volume": 584711392.4, "trend": 5.762709, "fair_value": 5.263969, "relative_strength": -16.332743, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.769132, "energy": 48.621579, "activity_lines": [ 4.658067, 4.760502, 5.074525, 5.333103 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }