{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b8b51301-b3f0-45bb-aa77-9c67be28ba0d", "symbol": "41O", "name": "LHN Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.788, "architecture_energy": 48.761, "architecture_maturity": 18.632, "architecture_confidence": 95.263, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.09, "rotation_up": 19.89, "upward_expansion": 7.25, "deceleration": 47.86, "rotation_down": 60.12, "downward_expansion": 82.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.564667, 0.567, 0.583612, 0.591565 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.58, "trend_reference": 0.606868, "distance_from_trend": -0.044273, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.469918, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.234258, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.146324, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.095567, "excess_performance": -0.250402, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.044273, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041043, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.234258, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.265983, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.281463, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.164638, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.095567, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.213447, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1803600, "relative_activity": 0.872383, "balance": 0.213447, "dry_up": 0.481356, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038889, "annualized_volatility": 0.234731, "from_high_reference": -0.438916, "from_low_reference": 0.06422 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.606868, "fair_value_reference": 0.469918, "structural_low": 0.545, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.003704, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.357143, "median_excess_return": -0.026606, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.092593, "worst_return": -0.086614, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.026312, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.034361, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.169812, "worst_return": -0.093903, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.049982, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.04099, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.107142, "worst_return": -0.117744, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.090744, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.101331, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.635721, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.272727, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.191177, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-21", 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"2026-07-17", "close": 0.555, "volume": 791300, "typical_volume": 2434645.0, "trend": 0.614497, "fair_value": 0.464848, "relative_strength": -31.358732, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.823822, "energy": 71.868725, "activity_lines": [ 0.564, 0.576343, 0.591813, 0.600579 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.56, "volume": 705300, "typical_volume": 2198615.0, "trend": 0.611627, "fair_value": 0.466383, "relative_strength": -30.896811, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.425942, "energy": 66.694529, "activity_lines": [ 0.561, 0.570903, 0.588484, 0.597063 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.555, "volume": 680500, "typical_volume": 2057685.0, "trend": 0.608592, "fair_value": 0.468044, "relative_strength": -31.199205, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.606752, "energy": 69.814141, "activity_lines": [ 0.558, 0.566, 0.584822, 0.59341 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.58, "volume": 1803600, "typical_volume": 2067440.0, "trend": 0.606868, "fair_value": 0.469918, "relative_strength": -28.146324, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.78763, "energy": 48.760516, "activity_lines": [ 0.564667, 0.567, 0.583612, 0.591565 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }