{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b8b915b3-426a-49a1-80e8-7a74d5c2240e",
    "symbol": "VWRD",
    "name": "Vanguard FTSE All-World UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 93.977,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.437,
    "architecture_energy": 51.553,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.468,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.153,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.36,
        "rotation_up": 48.59,
        "upward_expansion": 78.26,
        "deceleration": 68.77,
        "rotation_down": 27.79,
        "downward_expansion": 7.26
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        178.686726
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 188.5,
    "trend_reference": 175.177643,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.076051,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 141.37134,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.333368,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 2.913639,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.108191,
    "excess_performance": 0.056956,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076051,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038005,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.333368,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002433,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029136,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032878,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108191,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.621451,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 120516,
      "relative_activity": 1.549893,
      "balance": 1.621451,
      "dry_up": 1.411208,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.020898,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.138122,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002487,
      "from_low_reference": 0.238102
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 175.177643,
      "fair_value_reference": 141.37134,
      "structural_low": 157.25,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 43,
        "median_return": 0.010872,
        "positive_rate": 0.674419,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.674419,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006436,
        "regime_survival": 0.813953,
        "best_return": 0.101751,
        "worst_return": -0.083586,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.8,
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        "worst_return": -0.101988,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.168684,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.142257,
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-05-17",
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      {
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "trend": 165.505256,
        "fair_value": 134.072204,
        "relative_strength": 1.420391,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": 2.942474,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 103336.95,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 109559.8,
        "trend": 168.05975,
        "fair_value": 136.050935,
        "relative_strength": 4.191183,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 184.546188,
        "volume": 86347,
        "typical_volume": 108180.3,
        "trend": 168.763763,
        "fair_value": 136.564912,
        "relative_strength": 6.299934,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.54153,
        "energy": 81.550722,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 181.560806,
        "volume": 35240,
        "typical_volume": 105613.45,
        "trend": 169.490844,
        "fair_value": 137.056393,
        "relative_strength": 4.854526,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.815351,
        "energy": 73.442795,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 30014,
        "typical_volume": 104749.45,
        "trend": 170.145728,
        "fair_value": 137.532696,
        "relative_strength": 4.056673,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.309797,
        "energy": 69.715994,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 138.037,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 180.850006,
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        "trend": 171.601466,
        "fair_value": 138.50866,
        "relative_strength": 2.726237,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.607947,
        "energy": 51.502662,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 183.860001,
        "volume": 6322,
        "typical_volume": 88529.25,
        "trend": 172.248814,
        "fair_value": 139.005948,
        "relative_strength": 2.730659,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 53.759979,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 184.139999,
        "volume": 74492,
        "typical_volume": 86808.15,
        "trend": 172.932993,
        "fair_value": 139.483358,
        "relative_strength": 4.569123,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.230682,
        "energy": 54.439714,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 181.300003,
        "volume": 105147,
        "typical_volume": 85907.75,
        "trend": 173.494568,
        "fair_value": 139.94078,
        "relative_strength": 1.911875,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.980802,
        "energy": 47.708445,
        "activity_lines": [
          182.674002,
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          179.680051,
          176.802375
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 181.149994,
        "volume": 98826,
        "typical_volume": 84292.45,
        "trend": 173.993969,
        "fair_value": 140.389124,
        "relative_strength": 0.521023,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.442396,
        "energy": 40.911719,
        "activity_lines": [
          182.129332,
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          177.296273
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 181.559998,
        "volume": 114440,
        "typical_volume": 83926.45,
        "trend": 174.514018,
        "fair_value": 140.852516,
        "relative_strength": -0.514207,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.937464,
        "energy": 33.713168,
        "activity_lines": [
          181.895998,
          182.219651,
          180.716541,
          177.784404
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 188.5,
        "volume": 120516,
        "typical_volume": 77757.65,
        "trend": 175.177643,
        "fair_value": 141.37134,
        "relative_strength": 2.913639,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.437441,
        "energy": 51.553156,
        "activity_lines": [
          183.928665,
          183.311748,
          181.792145,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}