{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b8c03d98-9714-4983-a9b6-bce002722c27",
    "symbol": "P1AC34",
    "name": "PACCAR Inc",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 60.249,
    "architecture_energy": 86.054,
    "architecture_maturity": 16.531,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.147,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.8,
        "rotation_up": 84.43,
        "upward_expansion": 72.0,
        "deceleration": 18.0,
        "rotation_down": 16.0,
        "downward_expansion": 28.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        332.630674,
        324.30819,
        311.618105,
        310.650723
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 336.440002,
    "trend_reference": 311.047759,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.081635,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 267.351572,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.258418,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 11.062189,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.04912,
    "excess_performance": 0.106168,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081635,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040808,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.258418,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.169473,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110622,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.264266,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04912,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.2925,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2,
      "relative_activity": 0.020683,
      "balance": 0.2925,
      "dry_up": 0.031024,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.014388,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.243642,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.351213
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 311.047759,
      "fair_value_reference": 267.351572,
      "structural_low": 276.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.004023,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": 0.065171,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.2374,
        "worst_return": -0.01663,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.115741,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.178071,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.287146,
        "worst_return": -0.022763,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.150084,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011499,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.229442,
        "worst_return": -0.01558,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.019896,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027038,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.781606,
        "worst_return": -0.049507,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.2374,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.02297,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.016487,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.057439,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.011482,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": -0.047535,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.046891,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.002313,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.16052,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "return": 0.059082,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": true
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    ],
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -20.292521,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 72.9,
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        "fair_value": 255.268039,
        "relative_strength": -15.364371,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 55.585468,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "relative_strength": -11.594194,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -52.694746,
        "energy": 81.76244,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 92.9,
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        "relative_strength": -11.314043,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "trend": 298.852158,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 261.280293,
        "relative_strength": 2.705357,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -1.5828,
        "energy": 23.761303,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 312.640015,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 97.2,
        "trend": 305.744575,
        "fair_value": 262.26436,
        "relative_strength": 2.14024,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 22.416005,
        "energy": 40.380683,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 317.440002,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 97.25,
        "trend": 307.063113,
        "fair_value": 263.279197,
        "relative_strength": 1.704748,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 44.30772,
        "energy": 70.44457,
        "activity_lines": [
          312.844008,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 317.440002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 97.25,
        "trend": 307.584608,
        "fair_value": 264.294034,
        "relative_strength": 4.207989,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 40.829366,
        "energy": 74.282216,
        "activity_lines": [
          315.054673,
          307.412915,
          302.708366,
          305.291774
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 336.420013,
        "volume": 10,
        "typical_volume": 96.6,
        "trend": 308.73877,
        "fair_value": 265.430538,
        "relative_strength": 10.177064,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 60.116253,
        "energy": 84.950612,
        "activity_lines": [
          322.806675,
          314.106007,
          305.743979,
          307.152122
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 336.420013,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 96.6,
        "trend": 309.892931,
        "fair_value": 266.399122,
        "relative_strength": 7.744564,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 57.368516,
        "energy": 84.854509,
        "activity_lines": [
          328.508009,
          319.747827,
          308.713258,
          308.938009
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 336.440002,
        "volume": 2,
        "typical_volume": 96.7,
        "trend": 311.047759,
        "fair_value": 267.351572,
        "relative_strength": 11.062189,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 60.249167,
        "energy": 86.054408,
        "activity_lines": [
          332.630674,
          324.30819,
          311.618105,
          310.650723
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}