{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b8cc754f-d0aa-4706-9314-5e29117eb9c2",
    "symbol": "TOT",
    "name": "Total Energy Services Inc.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 44.342,
    "architecture_energy": 33.289,
    "architecture_maturity": 23.873,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.532,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.78,
        "rotation_up": 56.11,
        "upward_expansion": 68.28,
        "deceleration": 53.14,
        "rotation_down": 12.31,
        "downward_expansion": 9.28
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        23.567815,
        22.940906
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 24.219999,
    "trend_reference": 21.55922,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.123417,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12.299557,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.969177,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 18.854689,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.438086,
    "excess_performance": 0.317665,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.123417,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.15387,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.969177,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.056877,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.188547,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.147226,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.438086,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.897301,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 504300,
      "relative_activity": 1.011412,
      "balance": 2.897301,
      "dry_up": 1.082008,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.077392,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.422021,
      "from_high_reference": -0.116931,
      "from_low_reference": 1.06537
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 21.55922,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.299557,
      "structural_low": 16.125573,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.017665,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009994,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.202631,
        "worst_return": -0.167409,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.055977,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.055898,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.253659,
        "worst_return": -0.164725,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.104175,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010248,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.010647,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.034198,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.102465,
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        "worst_return": -0.048747,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 500160.0,
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 472835.0,
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        "fair_value": 11.816544,
        "relative_strength": 17.615371,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 22.889999,
        "volume": 422200,
        "typical_volume": 488375.0,
        "trend": 20.367735,
        "fair_value": 11.909269,
        "relative_strength": 20.167184,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 11.94337,
        "energy": 20.476033,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.323683,
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          22.114319
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 23.309999,
        "volume": 417600,
        "typical_volume": 492305.0,
        "trend": 20.644346,
        "fair_value": 12.004219,
        "relative_strength": 21.347399,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 16.674199,
        "energy": 16.436332,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.608011,
          23.054663,
          23.24471,
          22.304142
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 24.9,
        "volume": 677500,
        "typical_volume": 512310.0,
        "trend": 20.977581,
        "fair_value": 12.10545,
        "relative_strength": 27.844907,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.004386,
        "energy": 29.200242,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.46477,
          23.266885,
          23.439904,
          22.5787
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 23.629999,
        "volume": 558600,
        "typical_volume": 509355.0,
        "trend": 21.258236,
        "fair_value": 12.197722,
        "relative_strength": 20.77054,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.609845,
        "energy": 27.262872,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.707999,
          23.26648,
          23.483921,
          22.749824
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 24.219999,
        "volume": 504300,
        "typical_volume": 498610.0,
        "trend": 21.55922,
        "fair_value": 12.299557,
        "relative_strength": 18.854689,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.341551,
        "energy": 33.289151,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.988666,
          23.434972,
          23.567815,
          22.940906
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}