{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b8deb73f-af19-402b-9182-1813846d1150", "symbol": "INDIANB", "name": "Indian Bank", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 60.284, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -1.148, "architecture_energy": 4.829, "architecture_maturity": 22.977, "architecture_confidence": 59.169, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 64.37, "rotation_up": 29.18, "upward_expansion": 26.98, "deceleration": 41.54, "rotation_down": 26.22, "downward_expansion": 51.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 854.219999, 846.322475, 843.894977, 854.90708 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 889.5, "trend_reference": 868.264492, "distance_from_trend": 0.024457, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 614.158328, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.448324, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.851955, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.021005, "excess_performance": 0.064715, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.024457, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004296, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.448324, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041293, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.07852, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049665, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.021005, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.644261, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10596028, "relative_activity": 0.952462, "balance": 2.644261, "dry_up": 0.891241, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.051384, "annualized_volatility": 0.324369, "from_high_reference": -0.1105, "from_low_reference": 0.38422 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 868.264492, "fair_value_reference": 614.158328, "structural_low": 769.25, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.05554, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.018576, "regime_survival": 0.611111, "best_return": 0.422447, "worst_return": -0.11785, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.118462, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": 0.123416, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.377575, "worst_return": -0.108092, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.284983, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.200171, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.465431, "worst_return": 0.0128, 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833.513334, 835.497828, 841.681021, 855.296477 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 838.0, "volume": 5045214, "typical_volume": 11095774.1, "trend": 866.377826, "fair_value": 610.827326, "relative_strength": 2.946593, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.340129, "energy": 19.139324, "activity_lines": [ 835.463334, 836.494497, 840.258713, 853.415327 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 889.5, "volume": 10596028, "typical_volume": 11124883.2, "trend": 868.264492, "fair_value": 614.158328, "relative_strength": 7.851955, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.148018, "energy": 4.829045, "activity_lines": [ 854.219999, 846.322475, 843.894977, 854.90708 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }