{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b8f077db-28d6-4d6e-a98f-a97a0fb7d69d",
    "symbol": "TPU",
    "name": "TD U.S. Equity Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 76.603,
    "architecture_energy": 54.589,
    "architecture_maturity": 85.252,
    "architecture_confidence": 57.878,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.09,
        "rotation_up": 47.31,
        "upward_expansion": 75.62,
        "deceleration": 71.43,
        "rotation_down": 29.13,
        "downward_expansion": 13.62
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 61.630001,
    "trend_reference": 56.231403,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.096007,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 45.986561,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.340174,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.08835,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.149012,
    "excess_performance": 0.028591,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096007,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038781,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.340174,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024839,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000884,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014398,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.149012,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.993669,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 0.978321,
      "balance": 1.993669,
      "dry_up": 1.18424,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024447,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.135395,
      "from_high_reference": -0.011072,
      "from_low_reference": 0.24198
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 56.231403,
      "fair_value_reference": 45.986561,
      "structural_low": 50.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 45,
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        "positive_rate": 0.711111,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.711111,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000329,
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        "best_return": 0.06677,
        "worst_return": -0.100614,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.053341,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 43.518838,
        "relative_strength": -3.684421,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 321485.0,
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        "relative_strength": -1.351424,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 336265.0,
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        "direction": 83.399955,
        "energy": 91.096498,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 330565.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 54.301636,
        "fair_value": 44.392616,
        "relative_strength": -0.105875,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 297355.0,
        "trend": 54.490949,
        "fair_value": 44.567052,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 267610.0,
        "trend": 54.916844,
        "fair_value": 44.926785,
        "relative_strength": -0.329107,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.402154,
        "energy": 68.607606,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 22500,
        "typical_volume": 253400.0,
        "trend": 55.147384,
        "fair_value": 45.111135,
        "relative_strength": 1.415283,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 77.030835,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 61.150002,
        "volume": 216000,
        "typical_volume": 250970.0,
        "trend": 55.40882,
        "fair_value": 45.293334,
        "relative_strength": 1.848014,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.987087,
        "energy": 81.520085,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 59.529999,
        "volume": 401900,
        "typical_volume": 252465.0,
        "trend": 55.610618,
        "fair_value": 45.463645,
        "relative_strength": -0.620271,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.793973,
        "energy": 62.915013,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.274835,
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          58.351561,
          57.006022
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 59.490002,
        "volume": 281700,
        "typical_volume": 249575.0,
        "trend": 55.800138,
        "fair_value": 45.631191,
        "relative_strength": -0.850027,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.210681,
        "energy": 57.85725,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.003001,
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          58.633702,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 59.77,
        "volume": 232700,
        "typical_volume": 246290.0,
        "trend": 56.010545,
        "fair_value": 45.80304,
        "relative_strength": 0.139609,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.017923,
        "energy": 45.81582,
        "activity_lines": [
          59.902001,
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          58.906753,
          57.512425
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 61.630001,
        "volume": 238500,
        "typical_volume": 243785.0,
        "trend": 56.231403,
        "fair_value": 45.986561,
        "relative_strength": 0.08835,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.602566,
        "energy": 54.589153,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.394001,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}