{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b902dac7-60a1-4d3b-9f0e-be679dddb97a",
    "symbol": "CSPXJ",
    "name": "iShares VII PLC - iShares Core MSCI Pac ex-Jpn ETF USD Acc",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 93.224,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 91.288,
    "architecture_energy": 95.522,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.273,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.792,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.52,
        "rotation_up": 88.55,
        "upward_expansion": 99.96,
        "deceleration": 39.01,
        "rotation_down": 8.29,
        "downward_expansion": 21.96
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        216.060669,
        212.430364,
        209.241381,
        207.296989
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 220.600006,
    "trend_reference": 204.559667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.078414,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 175.381731,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.257828,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.842488,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.114648,
    "excess_performance": -0.056244,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078414,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04022,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.257828,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047984,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038425,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003681,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.114648,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 7.782162,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 29723,
      "relative_activity": 2.193142,
      "balance": 7.782162,
      "dry_up": 1.707409,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017759,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.11927,
      "from_high_reference": -0.009074,
      "from_low_reference": 0.228832
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 204.559667,
      "fair_value_reference": 175.381731,
      "structural_low": 193.360001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": -0.004786,
        "positive_rate": 0.37931,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.37931,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006885,
        "regime_survival": 0.551724,
        "best_return": 0.083911,
        "worst_return": -0.109079,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015306,
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        "worst_return": -0.095769,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.111781,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.071841,
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "end": "2025-05-23",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2026-01-09",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 13273.0,
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        "fair_value": 174.501025,
        "relative_strength": -3.349801,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 215.270004,
        "volume": 21350,
        "typical_volume": 13164.2,
        "trend": 203.547667,
        "fair_value": 174.916026,
        "relative_strength": -3.517902,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.860669,
        "energy": 86.679691,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 220.600006,
        "volume": 29723,
        "typical_volume": 13552.7,
        "trend": 204.559667,
        "fair_value": 175.381731,
        "relative_strength": -3.842488,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.288007,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}