{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b90d875f-7054-48ca-ac61-9083b818edc3",
    "symbol": "MAGU",
    "name": "iShares Growth Portfolio UCITS ETF USD Hedged (Acc)",
    "exchange": "AMS",
    "country": "NL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AEX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 71.716,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 44.431,
    "architecture_energy": 37.73,
    "architecture_maturity": 60.387,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.478,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.33,
        "rotation_up": 31.61,
        "upward_expansion": 64.28,
        "deceleration": 88.33,
        "rotation_down": 27.98,
        "downward_expansion": 25.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.568427,
        7.610009,
        7.538604,
        7.392656
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 7.5229,
    "trend_reference": 7.217347,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.042336,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.046266,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.244222,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.291451,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.08769,
    "excess_performance": -0.028972,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042336,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044644,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.244222,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00902,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032915,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.071625,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08769,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 7.846619,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 7.846619,
      "dry_up": 0.299985,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.014853,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.134437,
      "from_high_reference": -0.028539,
      "from_low_reference": 0.194301
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7.217347,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.046266,
      "structural_low": 6.5485,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.023119,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000851,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.073168,
        "worst_return": 0.010233,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.05433,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.036325,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.157516,
        "worst_return": -0.104814,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.048727,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.048638,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.10306,
        "worst_return": -0.005605,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.075635,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.064153,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.075635,
        "worst_return": 0.075635,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-12-01",
        "end": "2023-12-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.039164,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-22",
        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.062359,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.02824,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.09672,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003475,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.048689,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.053137,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.077068,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.01172,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.040157,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.066712,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-04-24",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.04716,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "relative_strength": 6.390366,
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 1.656498,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 22199.1,
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        "fair_value": 5.977517,
        "relative_strength": 1.502386,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.431762,
        "energy": 82.940567,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 11784,
        "typical_volume": 22173.45,
        "trend": 7.14178,
        "fair_value": 5.995005,
        "relative_strength": -0.44807,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.259316,
        "energy": 76.39062,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.673253,
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          7.466459,
          7.317513
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7.6293,
        "volume": 2807,
        "typical_volume": 22273.8,
        "trend": 7.171663,
        "fair_value": 6.012471,
        "relative_strength": -0.108686,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.059806,
        "energy": 63.268329,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.653313,
          7.649691,
          7.501026,
          7.348966
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.5229,
        "volume": 12754,
        "typical_volume": 22828.65,
        "trend": 7.19694,
        "fair_value": 6.029254,
        "relative_strength": -2.282598,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.747871,
        "energy": 50.655714,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.605547,
          7.630549,
          7.521611,
          7.371627
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.5229,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 22788.65,
        "trend": 7.217347,
        "fair_value": 6.046266,
        "relative_strength": -3.291451,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.431039,
        "energy": 37.729685,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.568427,
          7.610009,
          7.538604,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}