{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b919c3a4-f68e-4ed0-af61-98a67ac741e4", "symbol": "002223", "name": "Jiangsu Yuyue Medical Equipment & Supply Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -35.798, "architecture_energy": 24.524, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 74.409, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.52, "rotation_up": 28.41, "upward_expansion": 21.84, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 20.66, "downward_expansion": 55.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.293333, 26.787636, 27.145866, 28.751872 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 27.34, "trend_reference": 31.394031, "distance_from_trend": -0.129134, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 33.348361, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.18017, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.255433, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.299627, "excess_performance": -0.307027, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.129134, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088237, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.18017, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050225, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.212554, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.117013, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.299627, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.452796, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 53574642, "relative_activity": 1.257077, "balance": 0.452796, "dry_up": 1.544983, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057294, "annualized_volatility": 0.240471, "from_high_reference": -0.396569, "from_low_reference": 0.106883 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.394031, "fair_value_reference": 33.348361, "structural_low": 24.700001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.034361, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.01968, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.131528, "worst_return": -0.118603, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.028295, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.081959, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.223606, "worst_return": -0.227634, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.062501, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.153517, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.169995, "worst_return": -0.054928, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"fair_value": 33.412912, "relative_strength": -21.779102, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.599444, "energy": 42.370972, "activity_lines": [ 26.597334, 26.254758, 27.34397, 29.28875 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.08, "volume": 52452672, "typical_volume": 41748213.05, "trend": 31.728795, "fair_value": 33.381789, "relative_strength": -15.551238, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.080873, "energy": 32.31782, "activity_lines": [ 27.152, 26.602, 27.262502, 29.03502 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.34, "volume": 53574642, "typical_volume": 42618418.65, "trend": 31.394031, "fair_value": 33.348361, "relative_strength": -21.255433, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.797647, "energy": 24.523611, "activity_lines": [ 27.293333, 26.787636, 27.145866, 28.751872 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }