{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b929e68d-a290-4a5f-871f-6d10bc494d01", "symbol": "C1OO34", "name": "The Cooper Companies, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 50.314, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 16.334, "architecture_energy": 67.838, "architecture_maturity": 8.19, "architecture_confidence": 47.302, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.87, "rotation_up": 61.16, "upward_expansion": 59.02, "deceleration": 14.88, "rotation_down": 14.02, "downward_expansion": 60.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.282668, 36.661455, 35.041953, 35.711269 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 37.400002, "trend_reference": 37.311334, "distance_from_trend": 0.002376, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 45.173318, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.172078, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.547283, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.111639, "excess_performance": -0.05459, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.002376, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054763, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.172078, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.172528, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.065473, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.297691, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.111639, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 9.857143, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1, "relative_activity": 0.09901, "balance": 9.857143, "dry_up": 0.09901, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.024558, "annualized_volatility": 0.355558, "from_high_reference": -0.204255, "from_low_reference": 0.289655 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.311334, "fair_value_reference": 45.173318, "structural_low": 29.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.006602, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.01437, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.08211, "worst_return": -0.035002, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.009032, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.04784, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.022164, "worst_return": -0.141832, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.037059, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.038367, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.226661, "worst_return": -0.260724, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"amber", "start": "2024-03-15", "end": "2024-04-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-04-19", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.260256, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.006516, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.240445, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.050524, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.044918, 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"volume": 0, "typical_volume": 32.1, "trend": 39.076334, "fair_value": 45.576735, "relative_strength": -15.107234, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.813506, "energy": 43.07762, "activity_lines": [ 33.296001, 32.334, 34.250381, 36.421205 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 34.880001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 31.6, "trend": 38.840334, "fair_value": 45.522126, "relative_strength": -16.894715, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.13398, "energy": 44.552809, "activity_lines": [ 34.108001, 32.767091, 34.089715, 36.150474 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 36.0, "volume": 67, "typical_volume": 34.8, "trend": 38.543667, "fair_value": 45.474696, "relative_strength": -14.179439, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.842651, "energy": 45.789494, "activity_lines": [ 34.996001, 33.428182, 34.070096, 35.967226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 37.32, "volume": 40, "typical_volume": 35.65, "trend": 38.322334, "fair_value": 45.41464, "relative_strength": -12.166374, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 16.700106, "energy": 38.989035, "activity_lines": [ 35.992, 34.333273, 34.212858, 35.88828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 37.32, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 35.6, "trend": 38.097, "fair_value": 45.354584, "relative_strength": -9.363283, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 18.284453, "energy": 42.833515, "activity_lines": [ 36.568, 35.125455, 34.384619, 35.823613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.32, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 34.95, "trend": 37.871667, "fair_value": 45.294503, "relative_strength": -8.820045, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 15.88819, "energy": 44.016861, "activity_lines": [ 36.981333, 35.788364, 34.582905, 35.773484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.080002, "volume": 3, "typical_volume": 35.1, "trend": 37.572667, "fair_value": 45.232885, "relative_strength": -10.651787, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 12.161025, "energy": 64.817414, "activity_lines": [ 37.152001, 36.256364, 34.783858, 35.722409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.400002, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 10.1, "trend": 37.311334, "fair_value": 45.173318, "relative_strength": -6.547283, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 16.334312, "energy": 67.838383, "activity_lines": [ 37.282668, 36.661455, 35.041953, 35.711269 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }