{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b9535697-1706-4acc-a247-76feb0bbbe8b", "symbol": "3490", "name": "Single Well Industrial Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 53.328, "architecture_energy": 24.657, "architecture_maturity": 37.928, "architecture_confidence": 66.686, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.56, "rotation_up": 41.98, "upward_expansion": 57.35, "deceleration": 62.89, "rotation_down": 24.25, "downward_expansion": 19.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.310001, 31.3369, 32.125974, 31.068082 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 39.650002, "trend_reference": 29.314496, "distance_from_trend": 0.352573, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.536312, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.494179, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.635437, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.678816, "excess_performance": 0.237444, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.352573, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084874, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.494179, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.082713, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.066354, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029143, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.678816, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.306778, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29513063, "relative_activity": 2.694447, "balance": 2.306778, "dry_up": 1.126985, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.112285, "annualized_volatility": 0.66121, "from_high_reference": -0.099629, "from_low_reference": 0.918647 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.314496, "fair_value_reference": 26.536312, "structural_low": 22.633759, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.027237, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.026937, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.083612, "worst_return": -0.180547, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.03762, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.055224, "worst_return": -0.076923, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.084813, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.109549, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.047761, "worst_return": -0.14958, "sufficient": false }, { 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"modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -4.50369, "energy": 16.425513, "activity_lines": [ 29.130138, 30.881928, 31.61943, 30.310316 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.700001, "volume": 4896700, "typical_volume": 9353787.1, "trend": 28.647506, "fair_value": 26.370677, "relative_strength": -21.220136, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.971109, "energy": 27.158071, "activity_lines": [ 28.386019, 29.91751, 31.342628, 30.255532 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.4, "volume": 12742008, "typical_volume": 9826666.3, "trend": 28.807973, "fair_value": 26.423262, "relative_strength": -15.399487, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.491999, "energy": 23.797309, "activity_lines": [ 28.692909, 29.71868, 31.306107, 30.368596 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 39.650002, "volume": 29513063, "typical_volume": 10953290.85, "trend": 29.314496, "fair_value": 26.536312, "relative_strength": 6.635437, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.327682, "energy": 24.657428, "activity_lines": [ 32.310001, 31.3369, 32.125974, 31.068082 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }