{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b96423de-0da2-49cd-8fa2-ba04b40fb135", "symbol": "AQWA", "name": "Global X Clean Water ETF", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.577, "architecture_energy": 82.488, "architecture_maturity": 46.782, "architecture_confidence": 91.361, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.13, "rotation_up": 28.0, "upward_expansion": 32.48, "deceleration": 43.0, "rotation_down": 43.91, "downward_expansion": 75.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 326.0, 325.596752, 332.165131, 338.735867 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 326.0, "trend_reference": 342.175002, "distance_from_trend": -0.047271, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 344.706257, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.054267, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.794364, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.003077, "excess_performance": 0.057744, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.047271, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035168, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.054267, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056815, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.097944, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039978, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.003077, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.006305, "annualized_volatility": 0.2238, "from_high_reference": -0.130667, "from_low_reference": 0.008923 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 342.175002, "fair_value_reference": 344.706257, "structural_low": 323.11668, "invalidation": 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"close": 326.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 28.7, "trend": 342.141669, "fair_value": 344.867518, "relative_strength": -10.282489, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.481504, "energy": 59.86975, "activity_lines": [ 326.0, 325.395128, 333.875846, 339.777265 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 326.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 28.7, "trend": 342.175002, "fair_value": 344.706257, "relative_strength": -9.794364, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.576609, "energy": 82.488221, "activity_lines": [ 326.0, 325.596752, 332.165131, 338.735867 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }