{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b96716b1-a28a-4c87-b23e-5b5c81c7115c",
    "symbol": "1535",
    "name": "China Ecotek Corporation",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 90.312,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -59.818,
    "architecture_energy": 54.115,
    "architecture_maturity": 28.888,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.721,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.23,
        "rotation_up": 14.4,
        "upward_expansion": 10.37,
        "deceleration": 40.3,
        "rotation_down": 67.04,
        "downward_expansion": 88.37
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        45.94786,
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        47.170444
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 45.900002,
    "trend_reference": 47.619162,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.036102,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 51.817336,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.114196,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -34.613748,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.0169,
    "excess_performance": -0.424472,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.036102,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026914,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.114196,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009453,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.346137,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041829,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0169,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.895378,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 217226,
      "relative_activity": 0.528886,
      "balance": 0.895378,
      "dry_up": 1.077746,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.034281,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.189119,
      "from_high_reference": -0.156974,
      "from_low_reference": 0.084693
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 47.619162,
      "fair_value_reference": 51.817336,
      "structural_low": 42.316105,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.001639,
        "positive_rate": 0.461538,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": -0.042111,
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        "best_return": 0.054187,
        "worst_return": -0.041166,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.4,
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        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.088629,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "worst_return": -0.047,
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "energy": 21.884984,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
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        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 27.213466,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 45.75,
        "volume": 834072,
        "typical_volume": 475477.85,
        "trend": 48.01786,
        "fair_value": 51.873919,
        "relative_strength": -34.522624,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.471806,
        "energy": 38.092741,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.610936,
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          47.557842
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 45.799999,
        "volume": 504231,
        "typical_volume": 439076.7,
        "trend": 47.883228,
        "fair_value": 51.860334,
        "relative_strength": -32.68354,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.71909,
        "energy": 48.82837,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.286362,
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          47.04646,
          47.414755
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 45.950001,
        "volume": 215096,
        "typical_volume": 421766.9,
        "trend": 47.753596,
        "fair_value": 51.841718,
        "relative_strength": -33.18146,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.050874,
        "energy": 51.417527,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.07731,
          46.493021,
          46.886514,
          47.29003
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 45.900002,
        "volume": 217226,
        "typical_volume": 410724.05,
        "trend": 47.619162,
        "fair_value": 51.817336,
        "relative_strength": -34.613748,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.818013,
        "energy": 54.114708,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.94786,
          46.32446,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}