{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b96781f6-2fc8-4dd5-bd94-0c385a242cb1", "symbol": "CWI", "name": "STATE STREET SPDR MSCI ACWI EX-US ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 87.287, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.235, "architecture_energy": 35.971, "architecture_maturity": 34.232, "architecture_confidence": 54.832, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.91, "rotation_up": 42.15, "upward_expansion": 70.67, "deceleration": 68.5, "rotation_down": 26.42, "downward_expansion": 8.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.392667, 40.313455, 39.982413, 39.389518 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 41.27, "trend_reference": 38.722066, "distance_from_trend": 0.065801, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.23561, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.364947, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.024671, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.084763, "excess_performance": -0.040862, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.065801, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046325, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.364947, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016563, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.000247, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026179, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.084763, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.951612, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 752401, "relative_activity": 0.622453, "balance": 1.951612, "dry_up": 0.965526, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031807, "annualized_volatility": 0.189578, "from_high_reference": -0.003381, "from_low_reference": 0.286699 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 38.722066, "fair_value_reference": 30.23561, "structural_low": 34.852498, "invalidation": "A 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"activity_lines": [ 40.452667, 40.237039, 39.466304, 38.92202 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 39.52, "volume": 1464430, "typical_volume": 1275352.85, "trend": 38.295825, "fair_value": 29.925186, "relative_strength": -0.074084, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.564948, "energy": 29.039341, "activity_lines": [ 40.124, 40.141883, 39.546066, 39.010165 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 39.65, "volume": 922606, "typical_volume": 1244617.2, "trend": 38.427736, "fair_value": 30.020129, "relative_strength": 0.76032, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.103847, "energy": 23.923733, "activity_lines": [ 39.900667, 40.077514, 39.637447, 39.097531 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.25, "volume": 1528951, "typical_volume": 1238335.3, "trend": 38.566468, "fair_value": 30.124041, "relative_strength": 1.0602, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.796705, "energy": 23.606989, "activity_lines": [ 39.981333, 40.108693, 39.77155, 39.215097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.27, "volume": 752401, "typical_volume": 1208768.25, "trend": 38.722066, "fair_value": 30.23561, "relative_strength": 0.024671, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.235191, "energy": 35.971491, "activity_lines": [ 40.392667, 40.313455, 39.982413, 39.389518 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }