{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b96e3541-83f7-493d-9285-8cd95d76fd3b",
    "symbol": "HITECHGEAR",
    "name": "The Hi-Tech Gears Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -51.434,
    "architecture_energy": 37.126,
    "architecture_maturity": 21.997,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.004,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.71,
        "rotation_up": 12.43,
        "upward_expansion": 13.38,
        "deceleration": 57.66,
        "rotation_down": 64.94,
        "downward_expansion": 67.71
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        583.746663,
        605.062725,
        604.314763,
        607.069571
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 560.450012,
    "trend_reference": 618.568335,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.093956,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 682.591491,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.178938,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -14.596753,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.142518,
    "excess_performance": -0.098809,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.093956,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.053535,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.178938,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.106669,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.145968,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.076302,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.142518,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.170663,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 16477,
      "relative_activity": 2.194958,
      "balance": 0.170663,
      "dry_up": 1.790289,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.083738,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.340897,
      "from_high_reference": -0.375508,
      "from_low_reference": 0.075204
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 618.568335,
      "fair_value_reference": 682.591491,
      "structural_low": 521.25,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.055765,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015308,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.227442,
        "worst_return": -0.117071,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.044837,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001875,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.285957,
        "worst_return": -0.196064,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.106237,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048752,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.403146,
        "worst_return": -0.143057,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.331677,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.295357,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.754732,
        "worst_return": -0.091378,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-02-16",
        "end": "2024-03-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.229584,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.931639,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.110758,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.002992,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.044159,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.051338,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.070248,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.02804,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.116298,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.08481,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.101148,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.013226,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "return": -0.169538,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.01985,
        "active": true
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    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "typical_volume": 11525.7,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 3199,
        "typical_volume": 7689.45,
        "trend": 635.97667,
        "fair_value": 675.944993,
        "relative_strength": 8.092286,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 677.649706,
        "relative_strength": -0.486833,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.341058,
        "energy": 30.01177,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 626.349976,
        "volume": 8020,
        "typical_volume": 7034.55,
        "trend": 633.685004,
        "fair_value": 679.100026,
        "relative_strength": -4.51032,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.792338,
        "energy": 31.437428,
        "activity_lines": [
          647.549996,
          624.724547,
          613.704764,
          617.886776
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 588.049988,
        "volume": 6957,
        "typical_volume": 6798.0,
        "trend": 630.156669,
        "fair_value": 680.304832,
        "relative_strength": -8.021413,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 1.030743,
        "energy": 15.63277,
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          630.213326,
          620.665453,
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          614.942582
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 571.799988,
        "volume": 22303,
        "typical_volume": 7079.8,
        "trend": 624.125002,
        "fair_value": 681.490985,
        "relative_strength": -12.501738,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -44.807124,
        "energy": 22.842869,
        "activity_lines": [
          606.543323,
          613.639996,
          608.521905,
          611.177635
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 560.450012,
        "volume": 16477,
        "typical_volume": 7506.75,
        "trend": 618.568335,
        "fair_value": 682.591491,
        "relative_strength": -14.596753,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.43388,
        "energy": 37.12647,
        "activity_lines": [
          583.746663,
          605.062725,
          604.314763,
          607.069571
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}