{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b97950fa-5042-4783-902d-80b7ffce48b1",
    "symbol": "RATO-A",
    "name": "Ratos AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 48.425,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 48.371,
    "architecture_energy": 64.38,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.211,
    "architecture_confidence": 55.726,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 29.03,
        "rotation_up": 72.16,
        "upward_expansion": 59.92,
        "deceleration": 24.34,
        "rotation_down": 16.28,
        "downward_expansion": 20.59
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        36.553333,
        35.605454,
        34.98619,
        34.882936
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 37.5,
    "trend_reference": 35.206901,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.065132,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 34.532968,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.085919,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.76005,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.0248,
    "excess_performance": -0.086295,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065132,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010517,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085919,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096952,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.0676,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095588,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.0248,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.37681,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 9832,
      "relative_activity": 1.074665,
      "balance": 0.37681,
      "dry_up": 0.980172,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.042051,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.255932,
      "from_high_reference": -0.068917,
      "from_low_reference": 0.20696
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 35.206901,
      "fair_value_reference": 34.532968,
      "structural_low": 31.069796,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.006649,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015352,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.019391,
        "worst_return": -0.046835,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.045565,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025843,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.126664,
        "worst_return": -0.139241,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.018968,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.030006,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.148663,
        "worst_return": -0.15443,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.039304,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.128778,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.107334,
        "worst_return": -0.028725,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.115869,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.36,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.026316,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.005435,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.060052,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.087671,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.0825,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.07754,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.044888,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.076087,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.036697,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.013587,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.038781,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "typical_volume": 37243.1,
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      },
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -42.484299,
        "energy": 21.789552,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.62,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 33.400002,
        "volume": 5533,
        "typical_volume": 14138.5,
        "trend": 36.064877,
        "fair_value": 34.266992,
        "relative_strength": -17.790922,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 22.752742,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 13891.65,
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        "relative_strength": -16.318886,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 23.834061,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 32.900002,
        "volume": 4255,
        "typical_volume": 13767.05,
        "trend": 35.734359,
        "fair_value": 34.282992,
        "relative_strength": -17.196527,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -62.124687,
        "energy": 45.475611,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.620002,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 13760.45,
        "trend": 35.635767,
        "fair_value": 34.3124,
        "relative_strength": -13.405126,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -46.058106,
        "energy": 28.409278,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 34.799999,
        "volume": 6603,
        "typical_volume": 13651.8,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 19.456743,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 34.5,
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        "typical_volume": 13145.9,
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        "fair_value": 34.355016,
        "relative_strength": -13.548394,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -33.099988,
        "energy": 15.36632,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 34.299999,
        "volume": 1491,
        "typical_volume": 12727.2,
        "trend": 35.505845,
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        "relative_strength": -13.288891,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 13701.85,
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        "relative_strength": -16.851427,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 21.48134,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 1996,
        "typical_volume": 12179.05,
        "trend": 35.367116,
        "fair_value": 34.436596,
        "relative_strength": -15.004615,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.105264,
        "energy": 31.928304,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.826666,
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          34.698295
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 34.0,
        "volume": 248,
        "typical_volume": 11794.0,
        "trend": 35.317751,
        "fair_value": 34.463614,
        "relative_strength": -15.596728,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.868249,
        "energy": 35.431368,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.8,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 33.900002,
        "volume": 18006,
        "typical_volume": 11574.45,
        "trend": 35.252267,
        "fair_value": 34.48541,
        "relative_strength": -13.384396,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.432792,
        "energy": 34.406719,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.793334,
          33.990909,
          34.064465,
          34.518626
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 36.799999,
        "volume": 6590,
        "typical_volume": 9453.3,
        "trend": 35.289843,
        "fair_value": 34.495167,
        "relative_strength": -4.731621,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 4.934978,
        "energy": 7.817007,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.793333,
          34.490909,
          34.311802,
          34.61848
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 36.299999,
        "volume": 13163,
        "typical_volume": 9707.65,
        "trend": 35.269198,
        "fair_value": 34.504867,
        "relative_strength": -7.227526,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 22.985792,
        "energy": 28.716158,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.46,
          34.847273,
          34.511175,
          34.683651
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 36.099998,
        "volume": 6285,
        "typical_volume": 9373.5,
        "trend": 35.241886,
        "fair_value": 34.51443,
        "relative_strength": -8.760939,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.701815,
        "energy": 39.522114,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.859999,
          35.105454,
          34.686686,
          34.737251
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 37.5,
        "volume": 9832,
        "typical_volume": 9148.9,
        "trend": 35.206901,
        "fair_value": 34.532968,
        "relative_strength": -6.76005,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 48.370876,
        "energy": 64.380414,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.553333,
          35.605454,
          34.98619,
          34.882936
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}