{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b98daba0-0cb9-4c2f-90c2-a4277f599db7",
    "symbol": "ICHR",
    "name": "Ichor Holdings Ltd",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 21.894,
    "architecture_energy": 19.863,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.728,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.4,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.86,
        "rotation_up": 23.0,
        "upward_expansion": 56.92,
        "deceleration": 88.32,
        "rotation_down": 35.68,
        "downward_expansion": 20.58
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        77.891333,
        84.261091,
        80.63781,
        73.582817
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 68.32,
    "trend_reference": 63.020333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.084095,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 34.960032,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.954232,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 40.600581,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 1.125039,
    "excess_performance": 0.937585,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084095,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.557096,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.954232,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.444715,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.406006,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.81037,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.125039,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.767061,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7045501,
      "relative_activity": 1.383145,
      "balance": 0.767061,
      "dry_up": 1.032199,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.262236,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.97707,
      "from_high_reference": -0.398486,
      "from_low_reference": 3.859175
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 63.020333,
      "fair_value_reference": 34.960032,
      "structural_low": 32.03,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.037414,
        "positive_rate": 0.111111,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.111111,
        "median_excess_return": -0.078031,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
        "best_return": 0.018902,
        "worst_return": -0.190761,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.106495,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.155475,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.257519,
        "worst_return": -0.255621,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.060506,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.148185,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.211684,
        "worst_return": -0.175039,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.382759,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.20749,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.247719,
        "worst_return": -0.399534,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.051787,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.245914,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.153979,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.292125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.342566,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.210989,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.007159,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.021828,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.339947,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013661,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.060714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.349035,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
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    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 33.870737,
        "relative_strength": 125.498448,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 4960916,
        "typical_volume": 4830193.85,
        "trend": 57.453333,
        "fair_value": 34.174776,
        "relative_strength": 89.726651,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 63.29263,
        "energy": 52.641687,
        "activity_lines": [
          93.121333,
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          79.211286,
          70.263806
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 86.55,
        "volume": 3190984,
        "typical_volume": 4798334.1,
        "trend": 59.706667,
        "fair_value": 34.489135,
        "relative_strength": 95.973978,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.56576,
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          90.371333,
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          80.825048,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 75.27,
        "volume": 5833965,
        "typical_volume": 4946311.25,
        "trend": 61.535333,
        "fair_value": 34.739006,
        "relative_strength": 65.831011,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.886959,
        "energy": 25.214414,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.665333,
          87.422,
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          73.145097
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 68.32,
        "volume": 7045501,
        "typical_volume": 5093827.75,
        "trend": 63.020333,
        "fair_value": 34.960032,
        "relative_strength": 40.600581,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.893839,
        "energy": 19.862713,
        "activity_lines": [
          77.891333,
          84.261091,
          80.63781,
          73.582817
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}