{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b9d34a45-38b7-4ea8-adba-acd18a9a1c45", "symbol": "MIDHANI", "name": "Mishra Dhatu Nigam Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.309, "architecture_energy": 23.953, "architecture_maturity": 53.088, "architecture_confidence": 93.562, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.9, "rotation_up": 30.56, "upward_expansion": 57.12, "deceleration": 86.57, "rotation_down": 27.32, "downward_expansion": 18.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 411.316667, 414.849091, 411.802856, 396.052346 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 435.149994, "trend_reference": 378.385889, "distance_from_trend": 0.150016, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 382.63588, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.137243, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 17.662861, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.231461, "excess_performance": 0.27517, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.150016, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081967, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.137243, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002759, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.176629, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003401, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.231461, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.159704, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4832910, "relative_activity": 1.31888, "balance": 1.159704, "dry_up": 0.704571, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068173, "annualized_volatility": 0.393778, "from_high_reference": -0.028466, "from_low_reference": 0.631915 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 378.385889, "fair_value_reference": 382.63588, "structural_low": 266.649994, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.010058, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.017607, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.282627, "worst_return": -0.110865, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.058882, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.089345, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.550676, "worst_return": -0.15333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.165894, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.082959, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.458709, "worst_return": -0.147896, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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381.927889, "relative_strength": 10.137383, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.540837, "energy": 20.608414, "activity_lines": [ 407.463336, 416.109091, 406.387954, 390.783999 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 396.0, "volume": 1071058, "typical_volume": 3558063.1, "trend": 375.441827, "fair_value": 382.097409, "relative_strength": 8.170247, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.102069, "energy": 21.739193, "activity_lines": [ 402.296669, 411.763637, 407.430952, 392.200206 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 435.149994, "volume": 4832910, "typical_volume": 3664403.7, "trend": 378.385889, "fair_value": 382.63588, "relative_strength": 17.662861, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.309134, "energy": 23.953214, "activity_lines": [ 411.316667, 414.849091, 411.802856, 396.052346 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }