{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b9d3b9d2-fbbc-4eeb-89f0-7172f4f0b915", "symbol": "ACMR", "name": "Acm Research Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 31.64, "architecture_energy": 22.825, "architecture_maturity": 77.933, "architecture_confidence": 95.128, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.2, "rotation_up": 22.77, "upward_expansion": 55.06, "deceleration": 91.14, "rotation_down": 31.92, "downward_expansion": 18.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 83.778667, 89.543273, 83.804952, 76.06671 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 83.8, "trend_reference": 67.763, "distance_from_trend": 0.236663, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 32.240609, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.599206, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 38.394697, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.341229, "excess_performance": 0.153776, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.236663, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.359365, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.599206, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.291682, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.383947, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088551, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.341229, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.505538, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4724729, "relative_activity": 0.683558, "balance": 1.505538, "dry_up": 0.745213, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.235211, "annualized_volatility": 0.838768, "from_high_reference": -0.341143, "from_low_reference": 2.510683 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 67.763, "fair_value_reference": 32.240609, "structural_low": 37.16, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.071448, "positive_rate": 0.684211, "directional_follow_through": 0.684211, "median_excess_return": 0.051416, "regime_survival": 0.473684, "best_return": 0.348252, "worst_return": -0.271677, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.064784, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.071498, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 1.522847, "worst_return": -0.306953, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.595321, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.423654, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 1.442557, "worst_return": -0.612363, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.470571, "energy": 61.828615, "activity_lines": [ 102.218, 94.793636, 78.914143, 71.468043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 83.92, "volume": 4933220, "typical_volume": 7156467.3, "trend": 64.167333, "fair_value": 30.908686, "relative_strength": 51.229908, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.51034, "energy": 47.260614, "activity_lines": [ 96.252, 94.255273, 80.49281, 72.837355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 84.32, "volume": 3945785, "typical_volume": 6909408.15, "trend": 65.624, "fair_value": 31.367404, "relative_strength": 51.847374, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.020935, "energy": 31.929962, "activity_lines": [ 91.088, 93.352, 81.975095, 74.137527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 78.47, "volume": 6999802, "typical_volume": 6957880.25, "trend": 66.743667, "fair_value": 31.790032, "relative_strength": 38.549393, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.567391, "energy": 20.945572, "activity_lines": [ 85.677333, 91.009636, 82.712619, 74.966301 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 83.8, "volume": 4724729, "typical_volume": 6911966.15, "trend": 67.763, "fair_value": 32.240609, "relative_strength": 38.394697, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.639573, "energy": 22.824642, "activity_lines": [ 83.778667, 89.543273, 83.804952, 76.06671 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }