{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b9d605f3-5041-4453-a89f-073df0211bf2", "symbol": "7702", "name": "APEX Wind Power Equipment Manufacturing", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 92.917, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -6.781, "architecture_energy": 11.195, "architecture_maturity": 15.267, "architecture_confidence": 67.441, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 64.15, "rotation_up": 33.88, "upward_expansion": 32.71, "deceleration": 41.64, "rotation_down": 16.75, "downward_expansion": 41.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.64, 20.222004, 20.010416, 20.688262 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 21.0, "trend_reference": 22.136959, "distance_from_trend": -0.05136, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 54.35162, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.613627, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -50.767617, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.234762, "excess_performance": -0.676134, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.05136, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.118703, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.613627, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042363, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.507676, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.146663, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.234762, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.472665, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 94704, "relative_activity": 0.833217, "balance": 3.472665, "dry_up": 0.659595, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069207, "annualized_volatility": 0.594726, "from_high_reference": -0.566391, "from_low_reference": 0.283848 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.136959, "fair_value_reference": 54.35162, "structural_low": 16.357074, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": 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"volume": 77102, "typical_volume": 111297.65, "trend": 22.533707, "fair_value": 54.854652, "relative_strength": -52.410023, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.190963, "energy": 14.994835, "activity_lines": [ 20.066667, 19.88345, 19.871268, 20.885732 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.799999, "volume": 51074, "typical_volume": 111614.5, "trend": 22.327073, "fair_value": 54.600513, "relative_strength": -51.057204, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.664964, "energy": 13.41926, "activity_lines": [ 20.38, 20.04, 19.916911, 20.77388 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 21.0, "volume": 94704, "typical_volume": 113660.65, "trend": 22.136959, "fair_value": 54.35162, "relative_strength": -50.767617, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.781295, "energy": 11.194907, "activity_lines": [ 20.64, 20.222004, 20.010416, 20.688262 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }