{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b9d76035-7e8c-47e6-821a-e66e1177faa8", "symbol": "301611", "name": "Suzhou Kematek, Inc.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 91.374, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.745, "architecture_energy": 37.371, "architecture_maturity": 38.022, "architecture_confidence": 45.631, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.84, "rotation_up": 11.58, "upward_expansion": 13.76, "deceleration": 60.88, "rotation_down": 65.86, "downward_expansion": 68.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 98.972667, 113.718182, 114.250647, 113.416832 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 100.940002, "trend_reference": 115.134204, "distance_from_trend": -0.123284, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 73.13743, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.380142, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 9.217784, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.203189, "excess_performance": -0.210589, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.123284, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.199125, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.380142, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.169282, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.092178, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055113, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.203189, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.714002, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 70164572, "relative_activity": 1.249552, "balance": 0.714002, "dry_up": 1.274621, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.26718, "annualized_volatility": 0.956731, "from_high_reference": -0.419117, "from_low_reference": 1.025687 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 115.134204, "fair_value_reference": 73.13743, "structural_low": 76.5, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 100.940002, "volume": 70164572, "typical_volume": 56151799.6, "trend": 115.134204, "fair_value": 73.13743, "relative_strength": 9.217784, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.744762, "energy": 37.370858, "activity_lines": [ 98.972667, 113.718182, 114.250647, 113.416832 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }