{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b9e809ba-e3b4-4c39-8f14-724f60e318d8", "symbol": "MC", "name": "MC Group Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 71.098, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.256, "architecture_energy": 81.743, "architecture_maturity": 15.649, "architecture_confidence": 73.529, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.87, "rotation_up": 78.25, "upward_expansion": 97.56, "deceleration": 39.68, "rotation_down": 11.92, "downward_expansion": 19.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.78, 11.674545, 11.468571, 11.37009 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 11.8, "trend_reference": 11.285296, "distance_from_trend": 0.045608, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.199744, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.156892, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.172914, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.061395, "excess_performance": -0.13093, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.045608, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030975, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.156892, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045557, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.061729, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001667, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.061395, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.328426, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6182200, "relative_activity": 1.648914, "balance": 2.328426, "dry_up": 1.208727, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017601, "annualized_volatility": 0.143238, "from_high_reference": -0.016667, "from_low_reference": 0.240779 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.285296, "fair_value_reference": 10.199744, "structural_low": 10.6, "invalidation": "A 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"stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.966813, "energy": 87.417463, "activity_lines": [ 11.713333, 11.550909, 11.359048, 11.29783 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.8, "volume": 2093100, "typical_volume": 3700130.0, "trend": 11.256155, "fair_value": 10.188246, "relative_strength": -6.860016, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.280846, "energy": 87.519199, "activity_lines": [ 11.753333, 11.618182, 11.415714, 11.335003 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.8, "volume": 6182200, "typical_volume": 3749255.0, "trend": 11.285296, "fair_value": 10.199744, "relative_strength": -6.172914, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.25636, "energy": 81.742896, "activity_lines": [ 11.78, 11.674545, 11.468571, 11.37009 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }