{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b9eca004-32a3-418f-8971-32119d40c02e", "symbol": "V7R", "name": "Resources Global Development Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 93.431, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -18.112, "architecture_energy": 8.161, "architecture_maturity": 21.154, "architecture_confidence": 69.098, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 64.49, "rotation_up": 25.57, "upward_expansion": 19.98, "deceleration": 36.7, "rotation_down": 33.15, "downward_expansion": 56.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.222, 0.220909, 0.221349, 0.222019 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.23, "trend_reference": 0.223321, "distance_from_trend": 0.029908, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.202047, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.13835, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.788673, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.019947, "excess_performance": -0.134889, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.029908, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027715, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.13835, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047587, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.097887, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042417, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.019947, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.917841, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 81300, "relative_activity": 0.476735, "balance": 0.917841, "dry_up": 2.25335, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085154, "annualized_volatility": 0.368293, "from_high_reference": -0.06165, "from_low_reference": 0.234674 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.223321, "fair_value_reference": 0.202047, "structural_low": 0.200991, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.025319, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.005195, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.419737, "worst_return": -0.024389, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.025015, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.005471, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.864407, "worst_return": -0.159486, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.092607, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.093262, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.939118, "worst_return": -0.17955, "sufficient": true }, { 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.06818, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.074998, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.023255, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.047618, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", 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"deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.211632, "energy": 3.538357, "activity_lines": [ 0.223, 0.223798, 0.222554, 0.222925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.21, "volume": 89900, "typical_volume": 167200.0, "trend": 0.221273, "fair_value": 0.20084, "relative_strength": -15.277313, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.312313, "energy": 18.752746, "activity_lines": [ 0.218, 0.221489, 0.221281, 0.222228 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.22, "volume": 245100, "typical_volume": 158930.0, "trend": 0.22207, "fair_value": 0.201133, "relative_strength": -11.631825, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.035187, "energy": 14.743347, "activity_lines": [ 0.218, 0.221102, 0.221105, 0.222145 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.21, "volume": 1064000, "typical_volume": 195780.0, "trend": 0.222207, "fair_value": 0.201363, "relative_strength": -16.498811, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.564092, "energy": 34.366722, "activity_lines": [ 0.214333, 0.218818, 0.220048, 0.221367 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.225, "volume": 146700, "typical_volume": 180600.0, "trend": 0.222681, "fair_value": 0.201701, "relative_strength": -10.852347, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.218798, "energy": 28.052089, "activity_lines": [ 0.217, 0.219455, 0.220448, 0.221547 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.23, "volume": 81300, "typical_volume": 170535.0, "trend": 0.223321, "fair_value": 0.202047, "relative_strength": -9.788673, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.111849, "energy": 8.161446, "activity_lines": [ 0.222, 0.220909, 0.221349, 0.222019 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }