{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ba070b60-f7f9-4ade-9bf4-fcec8e040379", "symbol": "002481", "name": "Yantai Shuangta Food Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -35.379, "architecture_energy": 19.824, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 71.03, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.78, "rotation_up": 27.46, "upward_expansion": 19.27, "deceleration": 46.94, "rotation_down": 23.96, "downward_expansion": 55.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.110667, 4.056545, 4.129905, 4.267097 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 4.11, "trend_reference": 4.488333, "distance_from_trend": -0.084293, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.781885, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.140506, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.510385, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.211132, "excess_performance": -0.218532, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.084293, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.100594, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.140506, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.086692, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.205104, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093916, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.211132, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.949354, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 39376399, "relative_activity": 0.921185, "balance": 0.949354, "dry_up": 1.290333, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065506, "annualized_volatility": 0.261642, "from_high_reference": -0.379946, "from_low_reference": 0.093085 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.488333, "fair_value_reference": 4.781885, "structural_low": 3.76, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": -0.041622, "positive_rate": 0.378378, "directional_follow_through": 0.621622, "median_excess_return": -0.036657, "regime_survival": 0.864865, "best_return": 0.245658, "worst_return": -0.196398, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.068923, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.019663, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.645679, "worst_return": -0.283208, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.185444, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.078225, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.190421, "worst_return": -0.279461, "sufficient": true 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"fair_value": 4.789116, "relative_strength": -17.585281, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.751262, "energy": 46.460719, "activity_lines": [ 4.032, 4.033818, 4.187762, 4.358344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.95, "volume": 59770627, "typical_volume": 43822975.65, "trend": 4.556333, "fair_value": 4.785851, "relative_strength": -22.179651, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.97501, "energy": 38.859416, "activity_lines": [ 4.020667, 4.011818, 4.151143, 4.316 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.21, "volume": 46681969, "typical_volume": 43783046.9, "trend": 4.521667, "fair_value": 4.784819, "relative_strength": -15.084674, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.688127, "energy": 24.840256, "activity_lines": [ 4.096667, 4.044, 4.143667, 4.293656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.11, "volume": 39376399, "typical_volume": 42745360.95, "trend": 4.488333, "fair_value": 4.781885, "relative_strength": -20.510385, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.378821, "energy": 19.823944, "activity_lines": [ 4.110667, 4.056545, 4.129905, 4.267097 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }