{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ba1c5b57-0eb5-4478-b664-76e7b9bca083",
    "symbol": "XTR",
    "name": "Xtract Resources Plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 53.904,
    "architecture_energy": 24.203,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.495,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.008,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.85,
        "rotation_up": 37.8,
        "upward_expansion": 66.04,
        "deceleration": 68.08,
        "rotation_down": 27.58,
        "downward_expansion": 11.04
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.0117,
        0.011659,
        0.011179,
        0.010827
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 0.013,
    "trend_reference": 0.010372,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.253415,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.008897,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.461211,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 32.473899,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.368421,
    "excess_performance": 0.317186,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.253415,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.207646,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.461211,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.377795,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.324739,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.185541,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.368421,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.660142,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 45043560,
      "relative_activity": 2.632019,
      "balance": 2.660142,
      "dry_up": 1.501486,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.195444,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.846059,
      "from_high_reference": -0.133333,
      "from_low_reference": 1.6
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.010372,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.008897,
      "structural_low": 0.007,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.077926,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.062766,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.294118,
        "worst_return": -0.225564,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.014706,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.050358,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.166667,
        "worst_return": -0.222222,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.075708,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.176382,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.092593,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.37037,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 14775450.35,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.0125,
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        "typical_volume": 16109050.1,
        "trend": 0.010205,
        "fair_value": 0.008906,
        "relative_strength": 29.083406,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 39.129112,
        "energy": 19.20222,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.011033,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.013,
        "volume": 45043560,
        "typical_volume": 17113691.8,
        "trend": 0.010372,
        "fair_value": 0.008897,
        "relative_strength": 32.473899,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.903623,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}