{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ba21f29b-2ea3-45a7-94cc-46d5cfb0321a", "symbol": "BDMD", "name": "Baird Medical Investment Holdings Limited", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.313, "architecture_energy": 47.568, "architecture_maturity": 43.069, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.44, "rotation_up": 26.09, "upward_expansion": 7.57, "deceleration": 56.23, "rotation_down": 50.12, "downward_expansion": 80.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.102, 1.110182, 1.274524, 1.436025 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.22, "trend_reference": 1.529347, "distance_from_trend": -0.202274, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.914907, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.581462, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -35.021754, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.325511, "excess_performance": 0.138057, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.202274, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048724, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.581462, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.132775, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.350218, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032219, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.325511, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.321408, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 362838, "relative_activity": 0.426671, "balance": 0.321408, "dry_up": 0.294555, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.197301, "annualized_volatility": 1.526276, "from_high_reference": -0.674658, "from_low_reference": 0.611625 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.529347, "fair_value_reference": 2.914907, "structural_low": 0.757, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.288136, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.096, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.150943, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 4.32, "volume": 465436, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, 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"2026-07-24", "close": 1.02, "volume": 141282, "typical_volume": 1479044.2, "trend": 1.542013, "fair_value": 2.952589, "relative_strength": -44.313902, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.633197, "energy": 58.280165, "activity_lines": [ 1.076667, 1.133455, 1.35019, 1.489166 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.03, "volume": 205916, "typical_volume": 1189642.4, "trend": 1.53168, "fair_value": 2.932562, "relative_strength": -43.274965, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.804208, "energy": 59.484208, "activity_lines": [ 1.056667, 1.099091, 1.300048, 1.456133 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.22, "volume": 362838, "typical_volume": 850392.5, "trend": 1.529347, "fair_value": 2.914907, "relative_strength": -35.021754, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.312567, "energy": 47.568474, "activity_lines": [ 1.102, 1.110182, 1.274524, 1.436025 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }