{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ba43d513-f004-49a4-b877-494f85cf6357", "symbol": "EEUE", "name": "BNP Paribas Easy MSCI Europe Min TE UCITS ETF Cap", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.313, "architecture_energy": 78.036, "architecture_maturity": 40.331, "architecture_confidence": 85.72, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.06, "rotation_up": 67.91, "upward_expansion": 91.55, "deceleration": 48.04, "rotation_down": 22.26, "downward_expansion": 15.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.762666, 20.620218, 20.222133, 19.898456 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 21.084999, "trend_reference": 19.5682, "distance_from_trend": 0.077513, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.552549, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.273822, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.728452, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.096236, "excess_performance": 0.042924, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.077513, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040504, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.273822, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068312, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.047285, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008385, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.096236, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.684254, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 117881, "relative_activity": 0.562525, "balance": 0.684254, "dry_up": 1.089405, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018329, "annualized_volatility": 0.152135, "from_high_reference": -0.00378, "from_low_reference": 0.2441 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.5682, "fair_value_reference": 16.552549, "structural_low": 17.469999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": 0.010509, "positive_rate": 0.589744, "directional_follow_through": 0.589744, "median_excess_return": -0.0005, "regime_survival": 0.794872, "best_return": 0.072137, "worst_return": -0.055489, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.021841, "positive_rate": 0.769231, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": 0.006849, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.07207, "worst_return": -0.040291, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.062639, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.034746, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.150621, "worst_return": -0.132097, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.26476, "energy": 84.630869, "activity_lines": [ 20.485, 20.215546, 19.773786, 19.558054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 20.465, "volume": 543388, "typical_volume": 230902.35, "trend": 19.3525, "fair_value": 16.415542, "relative_strength": 6.881181, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.730615, "energy": 82.665232, "activity_lines": [ 20.509333, 20.305873, 19.871767, 19.634368 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.58, "volume": 161288, "typical_volume": 226908.6, "trend": 19.4303, "fair_value": 16.45844, "relative_strength": 6.80818, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.584591, "energy": 80.046699, "activity_lines": [ 20.547667, 20.395746, 19.977619, 19.713561 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.709999, "volume": 90612, "typical_volume": 210963.95, "trend": 19.498833, "fair_value": 16.504388, "relative_strength": 5.541388, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.634934, "energy": 65.116813, "activity_lines": [ 20.606666, 20.482382, 20.086986, 19.796123 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.084999, "volume": 117881, "typical_volume": 209556.85, "trend": 19.5682, "fair_value": 16.552549, "relative_strength": 4.728452, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.313432, "energy": 78.036255, "activity_lines": [ 20.762666, 20.620218, 20.222133, 19.898456 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }