{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ba457a77-276e-4674-861e-446147586b22", "symbol": "MCS", "name": "Marcus Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 92.593, "architecture_energy": 92.822, "architecture_maturity": 38.0, "architecture_confidence": 78.086, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.74, "rotation_up": 82.84, "upward_expansion": 93.68, "deceleration": 45.71, "rotation_down": 9.03, "downward_expansion": 20.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.265333, 25.514, 23.023344, 21.426432 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 30.65, "trend_reference": 19.449988, "distance_from_trend": 0.575836, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.025942, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.912524, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 56.915206, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.979974, "excess_performance": 0.854349, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.575836, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.184054, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.912524, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.745327, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.569152, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.576912, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.979974, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.240936, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2780506, "relative_activity": 2.619261, "balance": 5.240936, "dry_up": 1.591673, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069585, "annualized_volatility": 0.444403, "from_high_reference": -0.054596, "from_low_reference": 1.419057 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.449988, "fair_value_reference": 16.025942, "structural_low": 15.242151, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.022333, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.018312, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.407901, "worst_return": -0.076851, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.00411, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.070944, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.419552, "worst_return": -0.222991, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.003364, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.000527, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.103005, "worst_return": -0.096278, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 883518.4, "trend": 18.465876, "fair_value": 15.840245, "relative_strength": 30.81226, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.88492, "energy": 59.423891, "activity_lines": [ 23.193333, 22.859783, 21.169137, 19.984366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.1, "volume": 2164843, "typical_volume": 960218.35, "trend": 18.932099, "fair_value": 15.928156, "relative_strength": 56.218547, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.890413, "energy": 73.274375, "activity_lines": [ 25.111333, 24.146817, 22.054555, 20.670439 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.65, "volume": 2780506, "typical_volume": 1061561.15, "trend": 19.449988, "fair_value": 16.025942, "relative_strength": 56.915206, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.592707, "energy": 92.821508, "activity_lines": [ 27.265333, 25.514, 23.023344, 21.426432 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }