{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ba4d6d06-9cd9-41c7-a919-0477a49439a8", "symbol": "TTEK", "name": "Tetra Tech Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 47.503, "architecture_energy": 64.237, "architecture_maturity": 10.549, "architecture_confidence": 74.108, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.0, "rotation_up": 76.53, "upward_expansion": 56.64, "deceleration": 16.02, "rotation_down": 14.14, "downward_expansion": 26.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.276, 31.763091, 30.487445, 30.825377 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 35.44, "trend_reference": 32.018342, "distance_from_trend": 0.106866, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 35.497715, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.001626, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.731751, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.137753, "excess_performance": -0.325207, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.106866, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035946, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.001626, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.150755, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.067318, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.208659, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.137753, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.531949, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11534468, "relative_activity": 0.729845, "balance": 2.531949, "dry_up": 0.913615, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063148, "annualized_volatility": 0.372647, "from_high_reference": -0.17473, "from_low_reference": 0.373111 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.018342, "fair_value_reference": 35.497715, "structural_low": 25.81, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.015605, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.002483, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.074635, "worst_return": -0.081969, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.081342, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.008145, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.283817, "worst_return": -0.157522, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.003919, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.058283, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.263903, "worst_return": -0.115461, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-10", "close": 30.99, "volume": 13376731, "typical_volume": 15796549.7, "trend": 32.215986, "fair_value": 35.503164, "relative_strength": -20.875356, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.74421, "energy": 18.460438, "activity_lines": [ 29.698667, 28.911945, 29.334381, 30.602028 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 31.59, "volume": 11987867, "typical_volume": 15481376.6, "trend": 32.125884, "fair_value": 35.492465, "relative_strength": -15.169783, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.886931, "energy": 18.703028, "activity_lines": [ 30.499333, 29.467091, 29.46989, 30.561641 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.71, "volume": 10500125, "typical_volume": 15438859.0, "trend": 32.053717, "fair_value": 35.481669, "relative_strength": -12.809605, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 1.718678, "energy": 20.667448, "activity_lines": [ 31.129333, 30.018909, 29.636598, 30.53481 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.16, "volume": 23732630, "typical_volume": 16067603.25, "trend": 32.042493, "fair_value": 35.482002, "relative_strength": -8.783527, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 16.033512, "energy": 30.738746, "activity_lines": [ 31.952667, 30.733818, 29.955993, 30.606183 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.44, "volume": 11534468, "typical_volume": 15804000.55, "trend": 32.018342, "fair_value": 35.497715, "relative_strength": -6.731751, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 47.503496, "energy": 64.237462, "activity_lines": [ 33.276, 31.763091, 30.487445, 30.825377 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }