{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ba66de50-b4c5-4885-b13b-b8302704ca4b", "symbol": "VKTX", "name": "Viking Therapeutics Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 62.575, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 32.738, "architecture_energy": 15.606, "architecture_maturity": 38.193, "architecture_confidence": 76.786, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.25, "rotation_up": 30.23, "upward_expansion": 60.16, "deceleration": 87.19, "rotation_down": 26.29, "downward_expansion": 14.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.376667, 34.831818, 33.666571, 33.313097 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 34.26, "trend_reference": 32.766, "distance_from_trend": 0.045596, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 37.733045, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.092043, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.012144, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.204641, "excess_performance": 0.017188, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.045596, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022445, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.092043, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04902, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.090121, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093869, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.204641, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.324832, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7966662, "relative_activity": 0.716881, "balance": 1.324832, "dry_up": 0.868892, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.121346, "annualized_volatility": 0.544381, "from_high_reference": -0.206025, "from_low_reference": 0.492225 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.766, "fair_value_reference": 37.733045, "structural_low": 27.16, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.023077, "positive_rate": 0.47619, "directional_follow_through": 0.47619, "median_excess_return": -0.01774, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.39661, "worst_return": -0.260911, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.094279, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.127361, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 1.913183, "worst_return": -0.524533, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.148383, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.185474, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 4.122596, "worst_return": -0.597693, "sufficient": 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33.180333, 32.88443 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 37.08, "volume": 8027783, "typical_volume": 11438032.25, "trend": 32.892667, "fair_value": 37.360288, "relative_strength": 0.834784, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.373692, "energy": 65.145035, "activity_lines": [ 37.308, 34.844364, 33.561952, 33.158645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.79, "volume": 10134590, "typical_volume": 11361897.1, "trend": 32.813, "fair_value": 37.490737, "relative_strength": -3.501616, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.175649, "energy": 62.005624, "activity_lines": [ 36.784667, 35.117091, 33.710048, 33.281054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.74, "volume": 12494785, "typical_volume": 11329714.25, "trend": 32.690333, "fair_value": 37.610224, "relative_strength": -12.022512, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.863785, "energy": 25.43111, "activity_lines": [ 34.950667, 34.753091, 33.559048, 33.211828 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 34.26, "volume": 7966662, "typical_volume": 11112947.9, "trend": 32.766, "fair_value": 37.733045, "relative_strength": -9.012144, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.737655, "energy": 15.605777, "activity_lines": [ 34.376667, 34.831818, 33.666571, 33.313097 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }