{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ba695027-798c-4501-851d-786b6fad29ee", "symbol": "301211", "name": "Hubei Biocause Heilen Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 87.107, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -8.648, "architecture_energy": 6.892, "architecture_maturity": 62.098, "architecture_confidence": 41.47, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.03, "rotation_up": 28.76, "upward_expansion": 26.98, "deceleration": 40.06, "rotation_down": 30.88, "downward_expansion": 53.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.924667, 10.893952, 10.826239, 11.106664 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 11.57, "trend_reference": 11.562962, "distance_from_trend": 0.000609, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.438776, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.069844, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.726204, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.099611, "excess_performance": -0.107011, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.000609, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079752, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.069844, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041958, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.087262, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.174849, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.099611, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.394257, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 50487834, "relative_activity": 1.598805, "balance": 0.394257, "dry_up": 2.432425, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.115672, "annualized_volatility": 0.411238, "from_high_reference": -0.317404, "from_low_reference": 0.264481 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.562962, "fair_value_reference": 12.438776, "structural_low": 9.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.006867, "positive_rate": 0.47619, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": -0.010768, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.221174, "worst_return": -0.201197, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.004217, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.032665, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.169846, "worst_return": -0.204255, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.034532, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.110035, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.249646, "worst_return": -0.211211, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": -8.858127, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.432256, "energy": 25.409018, "activity_lines": [ 11.366667, 10.819787, 10.957317, 11.297172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.21, "volume": 73270491, "typical_volume": 28100830.1, "trend": 11.658962, "fair_value": 12.512394, "relative_strength": -17.823257, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.26899, "energy": 25.573231, "activity_lines": [ 11.096, 10.747901, 10.859656, 11.198508 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.25, "volume": 49945059, "typical_volume": 29830198.2, "trend": 11.584628, "fair_value": 12.47057, "relative_strength": -15.516043, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.529153, "energy": 16.498883, "activity_lines": [ 10.781333, 10.698361, 10.775281, 11.107607 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.57, "volume": 50487834, "typical_volume": 31578480.2, "trend": 11.562962, "fair_value": 12.438776, "relative_strength": -8.726204, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.647835, "energy": 6.892268, "activity_lines": [ 10.924667, 10.893952, 10.826239, 11.106664 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }