{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ba6f8d8c-1510-4646-8999-10fea2c00af0",
    "symbol": "GLDI",
    "name": "Credit Suisse AG Nassau Branch",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 92.331,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -49.251,
    "architecture_energy": 39.339,
    "architecture_maturity": 48.685,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.127,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.56,
        "rotation_up": 25.09,
        "upward_expansion": 17.07,
        "deceleration": 64.9,
        "rotation_down": 46.32,
        "downward_expansion": 69.4
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        143.710147,
        143.365815,
        147.042276,
        150.545869
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 147.9639,
    "trend_reference": 155.007058,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.045438,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 124.486571,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.188593,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -14.899326,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.096945,
    "excess_performance": -0.284399,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.045438,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01969,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.188593,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.119698,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.148993,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032502,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.096945,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.043557,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 670472,
      "relative_activity": 3.016608,
      "balance": 1.043557,
      "dry_up": 1.780722,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.040281,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.200029,
      "from_high_reference": -0.139089,
      "from_low_reference": 0.107907
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 155.007058,
      "fair_value_reference": 124.486571,
      "structural_low": 136.880677,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.005418,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010463,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.061613,
        "worst_return": -0.028374,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.029595,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.019579,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.110192,
        "worst_return": -0.013854,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.031532,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.015331,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.0538,
        "sufficient": false
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        "start": "2023-01-13",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2023-03-17",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2023-10-27",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.008768,
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2023-12-01",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -18.630709,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 169851.6,
        "trend": 156.394466,
        "fair_value": 123.517603,
        "relative_strength": -16.292582,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -69.299606,
        "energy": 73.014548,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 141.642,
        "volume": 369400,
        "typical_volume": 184791.85,
        "trend": 155.869375,
        "fair_value": 123.823044,
        "relative_strength": -14.388946,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.123511,
        "energy": 61.735622,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 141.322,
        "volume": 272268,
        "typical_volume": 195190.5,
        "trend": 155.376799,
        "fair_value": 124.129701,
        "relative_strength": -14.800371,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.116949,
        "energy": 53.29217,
        "activity_lines": [
          141.758313,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 147.9639,
        "volume": 670472,
        "typical_volume": 222260.25,
        "trend": 155.007058,
        "fair_value": 124.486571,
        "relative_strength": -14.899326,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.251036,
        "energy": 39.339164,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}