{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ba749cfc-9bfb-462f-b3ca-59630c5e3916", "symbol": "RSVR", "name": "Reservoir Media Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 47.051, "architecture_energy": 24.293, "architecture_maturity": 22.975, "architecture_confidence": 66.005, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.91, "rotation_up": 43.75, "upward_expansion": 75.11, "deceleration": 64.81, "rotation_down": 22.1, "downward_expansion": 1.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.272667, 10.250182, 10.214714, 10.008151 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.12, "trend_reference": 9.530667, "distance_from_trend": 0.061835, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.867628, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.286283, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.011786, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.342175, "excess_performance": 0.154721, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.061835, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.108518, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.286283, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069486, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.020118, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031645, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.342175, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.032712, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 236691, "relative_activity": 0.727978, "balance": 1.032712, "dry_up": 0.915237, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080074, "annualized_volatility": 0.298728, "from_high_reference": -0.244212, "from_low_reference": 0.4314 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.530667, "fair_value_reference": 7.867628, "structural_low": 7.44, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.001961, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.036679, "regime_survival": 0.6875, "best_return": 0.094005, "worst_return": -0.148405, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.019636, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.124008, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.112202, "worst_return": -0.140083, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.026278, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.139669, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.247148, "worst_return": -0.256588, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"volume": 255182, "typical_volume": 398374.3, "trend": 9.243, "fair_value": 7.773077, "relative_strength": 7.590835, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.823775, "energy": 22.357366, "activity_lines": [ 10.186667, 10.202727, 10.137762, 9.817161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.63, "volume": 383255, "typical_volume": 367050.0, "trend": 9.347333, "fair_value": 7.806346, "relative_strength": 13.505446, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.268794, "energy": 33.580028, "activity_lines": [ 10.338667, 10.279636, 10.194619, 9.906645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.24, "volume": 315174, "typical_volume": 348213.5, "trend": 9.439333, "fair_value": 7.837115, "relative_strength": 8.601493, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.477385, "energy": 28.177032, "activity_lines": [ 10.332, 10.276182, 10.211333, 9.964237 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.12, "volume": 236691, "typical_volume": 325134.95, "trend": 9.530667, "fair_value": 7.867628, "relative_strength": 2.011786, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.051467, "energy": 24.292768, "activity_lines": [ 10.272667, 10.250182, 10.214714, 10.008151 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }