{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ba800a73-0543-4b4a-9be7-3fef877d86f8", "symbol": "PSK", "name": "PrairieSky Royalty Ltd.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 88.9, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.936, "architecture_energy": 62.262, "architecture_maturity": 7.755, "architecture_confidence": 75.82, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.06, "rotation_up": 66.63, "upward_expansion": 83.82, "deceleration": 48.77, "rotation_down": 12.36, "downward_expansion": 15.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.252666, 33.625983, 33.390284, 32.969543 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 33.599998, "trend_reference": 32.093473, "distance_from_trend": 0.046942, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.758541, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.304422, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.839821, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.121015, "excess_performance": 0.000594, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.046942, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076934, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.304422, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020907, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.028398, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077025, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.121015, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.867319, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1539200, "relative_activity": 0.731502, "balance": 0.867319, "dry_up": 0.960428, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043954, "annualized_volatility": 0.238616, "from_high_reference": -0.055936, "from_low_reference": 0.474241 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.093473, "fair_value_reference": 25.758541, "structural_low": 29.1397, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": 0.002239, "positive_rate": 0.564103, "directional_follow_through": 0.564103, "median_excess_return": -0.00587, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.159161, "worst_return": -0.143884, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.010423, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.012351, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.195663, "worst_return": -0.093205, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.04181, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.025081, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.261221, "worst_return": -0.181288, "sufficient": true }, { 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32.784322, 32.742958, 32.078624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 32.360001, "volume": 1895400, "typical_volume": 2460540.0, "trend": 31.031151, "fair_value": 25.478109, "relative_strength": 3.164705, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.130325, "energy": 17.167916, "activity_lines": [ 32.144067, 32.638127, 32.738324, 32.175807 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 34.709999, "volume": 2491000, "typical_volume": 2394210.0, "trend": 31.31187, "fair_value": 25.550601, "relative_strength": 10.492787, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.856018, "energy": 22.279129, "activity_lines": [ 32.945222, 32.950181, 32.947076, 32.413152 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 35.110001, "volume": 1466800, "typical_volume": 2325545.0, "trend": 31.591513, "fair_value": 25.624735, "relative_strength": 11.084319, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.382325, "energy": 48.817054, "activity_lines": [ 33.813484, 33.301393, 33.175711, 32.658193 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.669998, "volume": 2586600, "typical_volume": 2288295.0, "trend": 31.852557, "fair_value": 25.695413, "relative_strength": 9.80326, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.546061, "energy": 64.111867, "activity_lines": [ 34.305333, 33.562957, 33.341898, 32.856805 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.599998, "volume": 1539200, "typical_volume": 2104165.0, "trend": 32.093473, "fair_value": 25.758541, "relative_strength": 2.839821, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.936037, "energy": 62.262197, "activity_lines": [ 34.252666, 33.625983, 33.390284, 32.969543 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }