{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ba9acf8e-e709-4d50-bc46-210e1a9ccf66", "symbol": "SARLAPOLY", "name": "Sarla Performance Fibers Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.711, "architecture_energy": 39.99, "architecture_maturity": 50.94, "architecture_confidence": 78.79, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.51, "rotation_up": 47.49, "upward_expansion": 78.65, "deceleration": 65.35, "rotation_down": 25.61, "downward_expansion": 5.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 100.241722, 99.683172, 97.602447, 94.169233 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 101.75, "trend_reference": 90.094465, "distance_from_trend": 0.12937, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 83.794815, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.214276, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.485211, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.305994, "excess_performance": 0.349703, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.12937, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040804, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.214276, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039187, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.114852, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.103921, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.305994, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.548939, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 578255, "relative_activity": 1.025677, "balance": 1.548939, "dry_up": 0.823107, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061269, "annualized_volatility": 0.350813, "from_high_reference": -0.107456, "from_low_reference": 0.487573 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 90.094465, "fair_value_reference": 83.794815, "structural_low": 68.400002, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.036134, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.00214, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.175, "worst_return": -0.180652, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.041699, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.039358, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.278436, "worst_return": -0.299906, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.241722, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.152605, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.688633, "worst_return": -0.290251, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"2026-07-10", "close": 100.755638, "volume": 463283, "typical_volume": 563715.05, "trend": 88.481961, "fair_value": 82.443362, "relative_strength": 11.066555, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.069383, "energy": 48.81516, "activity_lines": [ 99.337996, 98.529895, 94.438251, 91.376239 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 98.245087, "volume": 781427, "typical_volume": 582936.85, "trend": 88.914131, "fair_value": 82.769211, "relative_strength": 8.090975, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.799, "energy": 45.360266, "activity_lines": [ 99.259768, 98.654295, 95.197598, 92.006118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 100.010002, "volume": 322000, "typical_volume": 579387.35, "trend": 89.207798, "fair_value": 83.105437, "relative_strength": 12.887294, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.667103, "energy": 48.557045, "activity_lines": [ 99.741505, 99.004951, 96.057627, 92.721981 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 99.400002, "volume": 174520, "typical_volume": 563838.05, "trend": 89.509798, "fair_value": 83.439314, "relative_strength": 9.643122, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.263832, "energy": 40.896202, "activity_lines": [ 99.661, 99.169789, 96.775656, 93.379542 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 101.75, "volume": 578255, "typical_volume": 563778.9, "trend": 90.094465, "fair_value": 83.794815, "relative_strength": 11.485211, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.711071, "energy": 39.989889, "activity_lines": [ 100.241722, 99.683172, 97.602447, 94.169233 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }