{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bad95d68-4148-4c64-a51e-40c66dfc3498", "symbol": "SINCH", "name": "Sinch AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.486, "architecture_energy": 66.596, "architecture_maturity": 46.706, "architecture_confidence": 91.4, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.09, "rotation_up": 63.42, "upward_expansion": 87.86, "deceleration": 48.29, "rotation_down": 22.69, "downward_expansion": 12.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.872666, 39.660545, 37.904, 34.968387 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 44.189999, "trend_reference": 31.479333, "distance_from_trend": 0.403778, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.231647, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.622744, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 26.972513, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.832089, "excess_performance": 0.770595, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.403778, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.110291, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.622744, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.134084, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.269725, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029243, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.832089, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.770317, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12436715, "relative_activity": 0.972861, "balance": 0.770317, "dry_up": 0.773333, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08587, "annualized_volatility": 0.588297, "from_high_reference": -0.018, "from_low_reference": 1.342433 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.479333, "fair_value_reference": 27.231647, "structural_low": 18.865, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.019268, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.016416, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.26368, "worst_return": -0.219088, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.201044, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": -0.31298, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.160644, "worst_return": -0.431196, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.263016, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.35442, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.376696, "worst_return": -0.492812, "sufficient": true }, { 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.997098, "energy": 42.058895, "activity_lines": [ 38.136667, 38.167818, 34.999381, 32.453656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 39.060001, "volume": 4495384, "typical_volume": 14707623.35, "trend": 30.487333, "fair_value": 26.9545, "relative_strength": 18.01055, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.01019, "energy": 51.675694, "activity_lines": [ 38.667334, 38.31491, 35.713, 33.02342 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 38.189999, "volume": 12726570, "typical_volume": 14192477.7, "trend": 30.741667, "fair_value": 27.021679, "relative_strength": 13.745783, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.003776, "energy": 47.426819, "activity_lines": [ 38.814666, 38.301273, 36.267143, 33.520366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.049999, "volume": 9885420, "typical_volume": 13319974.05, "trend": 31.054, "fair_value": 27.107128, "relative_strength": 17.684032, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.585503, "energy": 46.177172, "activity_lines": [ 39.232666, 38.623636, 36.928762, 34.120903 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44.189999, "volume": 12436715, "typical_volume": 12783652.55, "trend": 31.479333, "fair_value": 27.231647, "relative_strength": 26.972513, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.486349, "energy": 66.596358, "activity_lines": [ 40.872666, 39.660545, 37.904, 34.968387 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }