{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "baeb0bd4-9eec-491b-b15b-beab3267d731",
    "symbol": "FTDS",
    "name": "FIRST TRUST DIVIDEND STRENGTH ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 78.218,
    "architecture_energy": 80.187,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.577,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.074,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.67,
        "rotation_up": 82.43,
        "upward_expansion": 95.35,
        "deceleration": 39.29,
        "rotation_down": 8.96,
        "downward_expansion": 17.35
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        64.32066,
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        61.500531
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 65.283,
    "trend_reference": 61.02829,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.069717,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 51.165244,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.275925,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.506459,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.04705,
    "excess_performance": -0.140404,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069717,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03567,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.275925,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076524,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025065,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096421,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04705,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.107297,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7261,
      "relative_activity": 0.584283,
      "balance": 3.107297,
      "dry_up": 0.700902,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.02953,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.124955,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004681,
      "from_low_reference": 0.248023
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 61.02829,
      "fair_value_reference": 51.165244,
      "structural_low": 57.4,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": -0.001957,
        "positive_rate": 0.466667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.466667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004771,
        "regime_survival": 0.733333,
        "best_return": 0.067524,
        "worst_return": -0.089981,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.029411,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.047148,
        "sufficient": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": -7.247499,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 11519.0,
        "trend": 60.321655,
        "fair_value": 50.733457,
        "relative_strength": -1.684688,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.635649,
        "energy": 66.656995,
        "activity_lines": [
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          60.876923,
          60.735426
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 63.7874,
        "volume": 12137,
        "typical_volume": 12045.6,
        "trend": 60.552489,
        "fair_value": 50.871889,
        "relative_strength": 0.626197,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.007158,
        "energy": 71.163741,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 64.4725,
        "volume": 10914,
        "typical_volume": 12357.05,
        "trend": 60.809628,
        "fair_value": 51.015671,
        "relative_strength": 1.154122,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.56821,
        "energy": 74.682432,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.62828,
          62.588927,
          61.546583,
          61.211926
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 65.283,
        "volume": 7261,
        "typical_volume": 12427.2,
        "trend": 61.02829,
        "fair_value": 51.165244,
        "relative_strength": -2.506459,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.217567,
        "energy": 80.187286,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.32066,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}