{ "ticker": { "uuid": "baee4568-bfc0-4347-a8a3-68c2c8a12e36", "symbol": "RSJN", "name": "FT VEST U.S. EQUITY EQUAL WEIGHT BUFFER ETF - JUNE", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 66.283, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.694, "architecture_energy": 72.96, "architecture_maturity": 73.914, "architecture_confidence": 65.233, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.98, "rotation_up": 61.75, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.09, "rotation_down": 27.78, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.581113, 37.441673, 37.000409, 36.529983 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 37.9785, "trend_reference": 35.986633, "distance_from_trend": 0.05535, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33.412108, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.136669, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.507782, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.077325, "excess_performance": -0.0483, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.05535, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029975, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.136669, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040589, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.035078, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021281, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.077325, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.203451, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 179116, "relative_activity": 1.558362, "balance": 0.203451, "dry_up": 4.060809, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.009473, "annualized_volatility": 0.060118, "from_high_reference": -0.000829, "from_low_reference": 0.155763 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.986633, "fair_value_reference": 33.412108, "structural_low": 34.0676, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.014941, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.011917, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.022303, "worst_return": -0.039032, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.025058, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.024917, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.042628, "worst_return": 0.007488, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.086573, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.009417, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.086573, "worst_return": 0.086573, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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37.292189, 36.839883, 36.394858 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.9785, "volume": 179116, "typical_volume": 114938.6, "trend": 35.986633, "fair_value": 33.412108, "relative_strength": -3.507782, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.694173, "energy": 72.959828, "activity_lines": [ 37.581113, 37.441673, 37.000409, 36.529983 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }