{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "baef9e23-7147-4b54-8d85-2b08d0d1f9e8",
    "symbol": "PASG",
    "name": "Passage Bio Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -66.56,
    "architecture_energy": 61.93,
    "architecture_maturity": 44.492,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.05,
        "rotation_up": 27.7,
        "upward_expansion": 12.82,
        "deceleration": 42.04,
        "rotation_down": 51.49,
        "downward_expansion": 86.16
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.595333,
        4.748909,
        5.195976,
        5.889194
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 4.4,
    "trend_reference": 7.104833,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.380703,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 12.719807,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.654083,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -51.443173,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.537329,
    "excess_performance": -0.724783,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.380703,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.199395,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.654083,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042082,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.514432,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066959,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.537329,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.4619,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 69406,
      "relative_activity": 0.166846,
      "balance": 0.4619,
      "dry_up": 0.420478,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.198358,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.258528,
      "from_high_reference": -0.78,
      "from_low_reference": 0.337386
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7.104833,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.719807,
      "structural_low": 3.29,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": -0.048515,
        "positive_rate": 0.292683,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.707317,
        "median_excess_return": -0.076353,
        "regime_survival": 0.853659,
        "best_return": 0.590645,
        "worst_return": -0.368687,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.141518,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.159974,
        "regime_survival": 0.733333,
        "best_return": 0.997869,
        "worst_return": -0.591922,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.333259,
        "positive_rate": 0.142857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
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        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
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        "worst_return": -0.744551,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.827376,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "return": 0.313725,
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 13.057448,
        "relative_strength": -51.070899,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "direction": -62.832505,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 343220,
        "typical_volume": 433033.7,
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        "fair_value": 12.961076,
        "relative_strength": -45.800048,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.660082,
        "energy": 54.80139,
        "activity_lines": [
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          5.638381,
          6.516817
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 4.94,
        "volume": 222244,
        "typical_volume": 432237.55,
        "trend": 7.8605,
        "fair_value": 12.880269,
        "relative_strength": -43.157628,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.443305,
        "energy": 69.329961,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.786,
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          5.507262,
          6.315667
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.47,
        "volume": 64786,
        "typical_volume": 421372.85,
        "trend": 7.619833,
        "fair_value": 12.796102,
        "relative_strength": -48.542626,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.340639,
        "energy": 68.448162,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.694667,
          4.875818,
          5.347857,
          6.096925
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.4,
        "volume": 69406,
        "typical_volume": 415988.15,
        "trend": 7.104833,
        "fair_value": 12.719807,
        "relative_strength": -51.443173,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.559921,
        "energy": 61.92952,
        "activity_lines": [
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          5.195976,
          5.889194
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}