{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bb011bfa-2454-4832-96fd-ec7f1b761a3c", "symbol": "RID", "name": "RBC Quant EAFE Dividend Leaders ETF (CAD)", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.332, "architecture_energy": 59.077, "architecture_maturity": 45.618, "architecture_confidence": 78.514, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.13, "rotation_up": 58.9, "upward_expansion": 79.53, "deceleration": 62.75, "rotation_down": 21.78, "downward_expansion": 8.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.318234, 40.027143, 39.370137, 38.770489 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 41.25, "trend_reference": 38.049741, "distance_from_trend": 0.084107, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.020374, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.421415, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.57379, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.105979, "excess_performance": -0.014443, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.084107, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046933, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.421415, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042603, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.015738, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018048, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.105979, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.134259, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 82500, "relative_activity": 5.254777, "balance": 3.134259, "dry_up": 1.745223, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.023988, "annualized_volatility": 0.18398, "from_high_reference": -0.000485, "from_low_reference": 0.315587 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 38.049741, "fair_value_reference": 29.020374, "structural_low": 34.234457, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 48, "median_return": 0.016406, "positive_rate": 0.6875, "directional_follow_through": 0.6875, "median_excess_return": 0.000337, "regime_survival": 0.854167, "best_return": 0.106654, "worst_return": -0.096902, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.05683, "positive_rate": 0.733333, "directional_follow_through": 0.733333, "median_excess_return": 0.026517, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.122747, "worst_return": -0.084207, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.088106, "positive_rate": 0.888889, "directional_follow_through": 0.888889, "median_excess_return": 0.021286, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.202745, "worst_return": -0.16911, "sufficient": true }, { 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.787191, "energy": 49.184951, "activity_lines": [ 39.628009, 39.513418, 38.895509, 38.37948 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.369999, "volume": 8700, "typical_volume": 12630.0, "trend": 37.872976, "fair_value": 28.894075, "relative_strength": 2.677264, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.330419, "energy": 49.018583, "activity_lines": [ 39.87757, 39.705439, 39.102408, 38.552616 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.25, "volume": 82500, "typical_volume": 15700.0, "trend": 38.049741, "fair_value": 29.020374, "relative_strength": 1.57379, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.332142, "energy": 59.076611, "activity_lines": [ 40.318234, 40.027143, 39.370137, 38.770489 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }