{ "ticker": { "uuid": "bb10848b-2f4d-473d-9bbb-8ebec2d05549", "symbol": "688778", "name": "XTC New Energy Materials(Xiamen) Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.407, "architecture_energy": 82.306, "architecture_maturity": 40.375, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.71, "rotation_up": 19.31, "upward_expansion": 19.89, "deceleration": 38.44, "rotation_down": 65.92, "downward_expansion": 93.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.052666, 48.561431, 56.422662, 62.184114 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 47.419998, "trend_reference": 69.987014, "distance_from_trend": -0.322446, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 46.14856, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.027551, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.888497, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.450521, "excess_performance": -0.407318, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.322446, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105111, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.027551, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.779027, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.328885, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.423467, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.450521, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.40262, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 32058483, "relative_activity": 1.069308, "balance": 0.40262, "dry_up": 1.25189, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.119503, "annualized_volatility": 0.467899, "from_high_reference": -0.537727, "from_low_reference": 0.127705 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 69.987014, "fair_value_reference": 46.14856, "structural_low": 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64.600432, 69.181516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 44.139999, "volume": 43710431, "typical_volume": 29037937.4, "trend": 72.951014, "fair_value": 45.999834, "relative_strength": -34.987662, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.449974, "energy": 92.903429, "activity_lines": [ 49.399442, 53.691426, 62.187526, 67.259859 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 43.799999, "volume": 39075173, "typical_volume": 29417846.65, "trend": 72.047681, "fair_value": 46.034934, "relative_strength": -36.18954, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.368515, "energy": 91.026968, "activity_lines": [ 46.746, 51.151521, 59.929095, 65.379148 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 46.09, "volume": 35285471, "typical_volume": 29546472.95, "trend": 70.985347, "fair_value": 46.081298, "relative_strength": -33.074379, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.01401, "energy": 86.22841, "activity_lines": [ 45.978667, 49.518828, 58.03995, 63.704459 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.419998, "volume": 32058483, "typical_volume": 29980592.4, "trend": 69.987014, "fair_value": 46.14856, "relative_strength": -32.888497, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.406741, "energy": 82.305722, "activity_lines": [ 46.052666, 48.561431, 56.422662, 62.184114 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }