{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "bb4231a1-b012-4719-b2ec-164b95e958db",
    "symbol": "FNM",
    "name": "Ferronordic AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.197,
    "architecture_energy": 55.661,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.427,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.744,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.82,
        "rotation_up": 60.96,
        "upward_expansion": 81.71,
        "deceleration": 61.24,
        "rotation_down": 20.22,
        "downward_expansion": 8.38
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        65.746665,
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        59.173333,
        55.695376
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 68.199997,
    "trend_reference": 52.376667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.302106,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 58.90641,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.157769,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 23.458184,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.306513,
    "excess_performance": 0.245019,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.302106,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.140359,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.157769,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.452564,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.234582,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.398286,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.306513,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.481664,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 52332,
      "relative_activity": 1.413681,
      "balance": 3.481664,
      "dry_up": 0.727736,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.095985,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.461937,
      "from_high_reference": -0.02849,
      "from_low_reference": 0.726582
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 52.376667,
      "fair_value_reference": 58.90641,
      "structural_low": 39.5,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.002317,
        "positive_rate": 0.529412,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.529412,
        "median_excess_return": 0.018004,
        "regime_survival": 0.647059,
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        "worst_return": -0.163724,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.34,
        "sufficient": true
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -35.497061,
        "energy": 35.740416,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.546667,
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          45.638333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 41.599998,
        "volume": 19447,
        "typical_volume": 36588.9,
        "trend": 45.511666,
        "fair_value": 60.384615,
        "relative_strength": -18.071025,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.740206,
        "energy": 50.309041,
        "activity_lines": [
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          45.206428,
          45.456236
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 42.400002,
        "volume": 24518,
        "typical_volume": 36570.05,
        "trend": 45.453333,
        "fair_value": 60.124359,
        "relative_strength": -16.370457,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.835671,
        "energy": 43.240588,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.093333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 46.400002,
        "volume": 85623,
        "typical_volume": 40577.95,
        "trend": 45.488333,
        "fair_value": 59.907372,
        "relative_strength": -7.056829,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -33.85909,
        "energy": 20.930018,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.493334,
          43.23,
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          45.316559
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 126626,
        "typical_volume": 45427.45,
        "trend": 45.656666,
        "fair_value": 59.703846,
        "relative_strength": -2.692258,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 11.573212,
        "energy": 13.554115,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.920001,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 52.400002,
        "volume": 60140,
        "typical_volume": 46147.6,
        "trend": 45.93,
        "fair_value": 59.521795,
        "relative_strength": 1.994001,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 41.205522,
        "energy": 35.433562,
        "activity_lines": [
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          45.874048,
          46.055591
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 66.0,
        "volume": 38280,
        "typical_volume": 45060.95,
        "trend": 46.67,
        "fair_value": 59.477884,
        "relative_strength": 28.92434,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.106277,
        "energy": 86.169601,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.026668,
          49.906364,
          47.710715,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 65.599998,
        "volume": 11527,
        "typical_volume": 44264.15,
        "trend": 47.338333,
        "fair_value": 59.414423,
        "relative_strength": 27.853446,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.158594,
        "energy": 95.792151,
        "activity_lines": [
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          48.57172
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 61.200001,
        "volume": 96210,
        "typical_volume": 47127.95,
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        "fair_value": 59.339743,
        "relative_strength": 16.7963,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 67.654355,
        "energy": 86.743856,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 63.200001,
        "volume": 1424,
        "typical_volume": 45386.35,
        "trend": 48.516666,
        "fair_value": 59.265384,
        "relative_strength": 21.401782,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.610237,
        "energy": 88.254018,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.8,
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          51.985,
          50.454946
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 59.0,
        "volume": 6485,
        "typical_volume": 40925.05,
        "trend": 49.023333,
        "fair_value": 59.16282,
        "relative_strength": 10.231926,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.258816,
        "energy": 76.202134,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.906667,
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          52.892381,
          51.13129
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 62.0,
        "volume": 22962,
        "typical_volume": 37810.85,
        "trend": 49.623333,
        "fair_value": 59.09391,
        "relative_strength": 18.2661,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.119434,
        "energy": 56.042913,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.573334,
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          54.054524,
          51.968495
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 59.200001,
        "volume": 10070,
        "typical_volume": 36393.0,
        "trend": 50.126667,
        "fair_value": 59.009295,
        "relative_strength": 13.971293,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.43966,
        "energy": 47.095877,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.573334,
          60.501819,
          54.893334,
          52.586344
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 65.599998,
        "volume": 19758,
        "typical_volume": 36079.45,
        "trend": 50.863333,
        "fair_value": 58.958013,
        "relative_strength": 23.779583,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.032961,
        "energy": 50.559856,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.133333,
          61.789091,
          56.285953,
          53.584624
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 67.0,
        "volume": 25598,
        "typical_volume": 36112.8,
        "trend": 51.62,
        "fair_value": 58.925961,
        "relative_strength": 24.213542,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.972111,
        "energy": 53.934344,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.866666,
          62.981818,
          57.723572,
          54.625699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 68.199997,
        "volume": 52332,
        "typical_volume": 37018.25,
        "trend": 52.376667,
        "fair_value": 58.90641,
        "relative_strength": 23.458184,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.197049,
        "energy": 55.660675,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.746665,
          64.087272,
          59.173333,
          55.695376
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}